Win rate
54.0%
147 W / 125 L
Total PnL
$-422
realized $-3,155 · unrealized $2,733
Portfolio
$2,733
volume $122,156
Predictions
457
11.1/day · avg $267
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 07/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 58% +$124
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Spread: Clippers (-14.5) | Clippers | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) | Lakers | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| 76ers vs. Jazz | 76ers | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Nets vs. Kings | Kings | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Bucks vs. Suns | Suns | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) | Nuggets | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Flyers vs. Kings | Flyers | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | win |
| Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets | Blue Jackets | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Weather 100% +$44
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 69°F or below on March 24? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-03-15? | No | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
Crypto 71% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | No | 68¢ | 52¢ | $-1 | loss |
Finance 43% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | No | 6¢ | 6¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Cerebras IPO before 2027? | No | 13¢ | 8¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 62¢ | 69¢ | +$6 | win |
| Set Handicap: Zakharova (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5) | Bondar | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 39¢ | 40¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 62% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 30¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | No | 40¢ | 24¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | Yes | 7¢ | 8¢ | +$2 | win |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | Yes | 14¢ | 10¢ | $-7 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | 56¢ | 15¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 90¢ | 99¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30? | Yes | 19¢ | 20¢ | +$4 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 21¢ | 10¢ | $-14 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
Economy 0% $-16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting? | No | 14¢ | 4¢ | $-16 | loss |
Politics 35% $-39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 40¢ | 39¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 28¢ | 27¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 78¢ | 80¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 87¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump visit Arizona in 2026? | No | 5¢ | 1¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5? | Yes | 3¢ | 4¢ | +$26 | win |
| Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? | Yes | 44¢ | 30¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | No | 14¢ | 22¢ | +$10 | win |
Esports 52% $-129
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | Aurora Gaming | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Phantom (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffs | ASTRAL | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B | Spirit | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage | Rune Eaters | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffs | Fake do Biru | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | Team Falcons | 64¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | FURIA | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs | Procyon Gaming | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | Team Falcons | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Other 58% $-135
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$1 | win |
| Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? | No | 45¢ | 27¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | No | 32¢ | 34¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | win |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | No | 73¢ | 83¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 63¢ | 34¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | No | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | No | 88¢ | 96¢ | +$4 | win |
Elections 11% $-138
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Gillian Sherratt win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 69¢ | 66¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? | No | 15¢ | 9¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Derek Grasty advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | Yes | 10¢ | 4¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 59¢ | 58¢ | $-0 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 27.1¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 110 seats? | Yes | 18.7¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 18, 2026? | Yes | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $74 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 31/03/2026 |
| People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $57 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $74 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $55 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of March? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $70 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 31/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs | Aurora Gaming | 49.5¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $43 | 27/03/2026 |
| Miami Open: Lilli Tagger vs Ella Seidel | Lilli Tagger | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $50 | 25/03/2026 |
| Set Handicap: Zakharova (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5) | Bondar | 65.6¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $50 | 25/03/2026 |
| Morelos: Stefan Kozlov vs Michael Mmoh | Michael Mmoh | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $45 | 25/03/2026 |
| Miami Open: Rafael Jodar vs Yannick Hanfmann | Yannick Hanfmann | 46.4¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 25/03/2026 |
| Spread: Clippers (-14.5) | Clippers | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $24 | 24/03/2026 |
| Morelos: Jake Delaney vs Taro Daniel | Taro Daniel | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $50 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be 69°F or below on March 24? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $61 | 24/03/2026 |
| LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner | Karmine Corp Blue | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $31 | 24/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Phantom (BO3) - Urban Riga Open #3 Playoffs | ASTRAL | 47.1¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 24/03/2026 |
| Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) | Spirit | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 24/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B | Spirit | 49.3¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 24/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 Group Stage | Rune Eaters | 56.9¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 24/03/2026 |
| LoL: Berlin International Gaming vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner | Karmine Corp Blue | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $33 | 24/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs R2 Esports Club (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Playoffs | Fake do Biru | 79.5¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $48 | 23/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | Team Falcons | 63.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $50 | 23/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | FURIA | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $20 | 23/03/2026 |
| Spread: Lakers (-1.5) | Lakers | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 23/03/2026 |
| Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) | 9z | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 23/03/2026 |
| Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) | PARIVISION | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 23/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: UNO MILLE vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs | Procyon Gaming | 50.3¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 23/03/2026 |
| Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA | Dominican Rep. | 45.8¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $77 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $23 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $28 | 22/03/2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $26 | 22/03/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Jazz | 76ers | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $32 | 22/03/2026 |
| Nets vs. Kings | Kings | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $30 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC end in a draw? | No | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $23 | 22/03/2026 |
| Call of Duty: FaZe Vegas vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 2 Major Qualifiers Qualifiers | FaZe Vegas | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $50 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22? | No | 75.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $57 | 22/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | Team Falcons | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $22 | 22/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B | TheMongolz | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $31 | 22/03/2026 |
| TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. Hertha BSC: O/U 3.5 | Over | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $31 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $25 | 22/03/2026 |