Win rate
68.4%
13 W / 6 L
Total PnL
$-4
realized $-859 · unrealized $854
Portfolio
$854
volume $7,334
Predictions
27
0.3/day · avg $272
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 26/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Weather 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on March 24? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on March 23? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C or below on March 13? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on March 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C or below on March 6? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on February 27? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C or higher on February 16? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 40-41°F on February 2? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 20% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (19)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on March 24? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $108 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on March 23? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $76 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 18? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C or below on March 13? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on March 9? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $53 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C or below on March 6? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $55 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on February 27? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 27/02/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 36°C or higher on February 16? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 16/02/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 40-41°F on February 2? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 02/02/2026 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $80 | 31/12/2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $61 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $855 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $514 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99.2¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $603 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $707 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $750 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | $664 | 07/11/2028 |