Win rate
56.9%
87 W / 66 L
Total PnL
$-14
realized $-558 · unrealized $544
Portfolio
$544
volume $30,655
Predictions
268
1.3/day · avg $114
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 13/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 64% +$128
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Seahawks | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| 76ers vs. Magic | Magic | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Celtics vs. Clippers | Celtics | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | win |
| Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Braves vs. Tigers | Braves | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup? | No | 28¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – Both Teams To Score? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Other 60% +$103
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 55¢ | 36¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 64¢ | 54¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 59¢ | 87¢ | +$36 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 47¢ | 46¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more? | Yes | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | Yes | 26¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
Mentions 100% +$17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Elections 100% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 57¢ | 64¢ | +$8 | win |
Politics 65% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | No | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | Yes | 67¢ | 78¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in December? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22? | No | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Tax on Tips" while addressing the nation on December 17? | No | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Thank" or "Please" 20+ times during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? | Yes | 40¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15? | No | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July? | No | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | No | 62¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | win |
Finance 50% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | 53¢ | 26¢ | $-31 | loss |
Crypto 50% $-30
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? | 90k | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | No | 54¢ | 51¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $260 before 2026? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 54¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Bitcoin above $122000 on August 15? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday? | No | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
Weather 0% $-40
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25? | No | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
Geopolitics 64% $-64
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 66¢ | 82¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 64¢ | 78¢ | +$2 | win |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 51¢ | 77¢ | +$18 | win |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | No | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 71¢ | 94¢ | +$3 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | Yes | 67¢ | 94¢ | $-13 | loss |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 70¢ | 69¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 65¢ | 76¢ | +$9 | win |
Esports 42% $-186
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | Team Envy | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | Sentinels | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | FURIA | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | Vitality | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | PARIVISION | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | Team Falcons | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | MOUZ | 64¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | 100 Thieves | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | FaZe | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | MIBR | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Team Envy vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alpha | Team Envy | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | Sentinels | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $27 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 75.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $52 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $41 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | 65.7¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $71 | 31/03/2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | Yes | 56.8¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $160 | 31/03/2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | Yes | 26.4¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $44 | 31/03/2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition | No | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $68 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 54.7¢ | 0¢ | $-92 | $127 | 28/02/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | FURIA | 73.4¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | $153 | 21/02/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $87 | 20/02/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | Vitality | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $41 | 20/02/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | PARIVISION | 34.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $30 | 20/02/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | Team Falcons | 66.5¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $74 | 20/02/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | MOUZ | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | $60 | 20/02/2026 |
| Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | 100 Thieves | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $67 | 14/02/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage | FaZe | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $34 | 14/02/2026 |
| Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs | MIBR | 62.3¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 14/02/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner | Team Falcons | 53.3¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $59 | 13/02/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | Team Falcons | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $29 | 13/02/2026 |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs BBL Esports (BO5) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs | Gentle Mates | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $24 | 13/02/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | Team Liquid | 52.9¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $39 | 13/02/2026 |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner | Team Liquid | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $25 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12? | No | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | $72 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 68.4¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $111 | 08/02/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | Vitality | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $60 | 08/02/2026 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Seahawks | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $50 | 08/02/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | FURIA | 33.9¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $59 | 08/02/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | Spirit | 35.1¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 07/02/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? | No | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $61 | 01/02/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B | Team Falcons | 52.9¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 01/02/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B | NRG | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 01/02/2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | 49.4¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $73 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $77 | 31/01/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $56 | 31/01/2026 |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | No | 81.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $68 | 31/01/2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: January | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $71 | 31/01/2026 |
| Iran strike on US military by January 31? | No | 61.3¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $77 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 74.8¢ | 0¢ | $-166 | $166 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | Yes | 43.8¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25? | No | 55.4¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 25/01/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | FURIA | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 24/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? | No | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $33 | 17/01/2026 |
| Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) | Leviatán Esports | 43.9¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $52 | 17/01/2026 |
| Valorant: LOUD vs Cloud9 (BO3) | Cloud9 | 54.7¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $38 | 16/01/2026 |
| Valorant: Team Envy vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winner | Team Envy | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $30 | 16/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | No | 71.6¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $87 | 14/01/2026 |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5) | Barnsley FC | 50.9¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | $59 | 12/01/2026 |