Win rate
59.8%
49 W / 33 L
Total PnL
$12,945
realized $8,390 · unrealized $4,555
Portfolio
$4,555
volume $259,012
Predictions
120
3.1/day · avg $2,158
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 69% +$11,350
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 43¢ | 0¢ | +$60 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 68¢ | +$60 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 32¢ | +$431 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 62¢ | 80¢ | +$222 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 1¢ | $-50 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 46¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 97¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
Other 67% +$2,676
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 22¢ | 38¢ | +$2,453 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$255 | win |
Finance 0% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
Crypto 58% $-1,565
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | Up | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | Down | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | Down | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | Down | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | Down | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | Up | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | Up | 52¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | Up | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | Down | 28¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | Up | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $63 | 18/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 46.2¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $32 | 18/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 1¢ | $-50 | $87 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | Down | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $78 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $32 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | Down | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | Down | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $45 | 16/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4,037 | $2,103 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 87.5¢ | 100¢ | +$480 | $4,876 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 90.3¢ | 100¢ | +$261 | $2,490 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | Down | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | Up | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $212 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | Up | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $32 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | Up | 30.0¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | $60 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | Down | 28.0¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $28 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | Down | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | Down | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $68 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | Down | 78.6¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $130 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | Down | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $28 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | Up | 87.8¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $115 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | Up | 92.2¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $110 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | Down | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $92 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | Down | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $41 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | Up | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $84 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | Down | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $97 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $115 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | Down | 14.1¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | Down | 40.8¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $41 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | Down | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | Down | 55.5¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Down | 66.1¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | Down | 59.3¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | Up | 48.6¢ | 100¢ | $-162 | $603 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | Down | 46.6¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | Up | 85.1¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 3.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3,172 | $376 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | Up | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $28 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $111 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 96.9¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $237 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | Up | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $66 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | Down | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $20 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | Down | 82.1¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $110 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | Up | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $44 | 02/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | Down | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $96 | 02/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,353 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 76.8¢ | 100¢ | +$255 | $1,707 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Up | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $36 | 31/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | Down | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | +$23 | $153 | 31/03/2026 |