Win rate
98.7%
1320 W / 18 L
Total PnL
$-3,488
realized $-4,494 · unrealized $1,006
Portfolio
$1,006
volume $985,459
Predictions
1,559
31.9/day · avg $632
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 16/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 100% +$329
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. New York Mets | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Cincinnati Reds | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Elections 100% +$263
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%? | Yes | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$247 | win |
Other 94% +$178
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will A-Train die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Claude go down 3-5 times in April? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the first eaglet hatch on April 11, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 6, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Claude go down 0 times in March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Final Stage: Italy vs. Venezuela | Venezuela | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Final Stage: Japan vs. Venezuela | Venezuela | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Final Stage: Canada vs. USA | USA | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$118
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Invasion" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6) | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Iran" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| First Round Pool D: Netherlands vs. Israel | Israel | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Vance say "Israel" during his Rocky Mount visit? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by March 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Politics 100% +$56
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Trump say "Russia" during Fox interview on Wednesday? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Leavitt say "Travel" during the next White House Press Briefing? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House Press Briefing? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump say "Dairy" during National Agriculture Day events? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump's remarks not air? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 3+ times during events with Japanese PM? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 8+ times during Taoiseach events? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Vance say "Biden" 4+ times during his Rocky Mount visit? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during Women's History Month event? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Weather 100% +$51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on March 11? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on March 6? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on March 3? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 3? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 3? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 3? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on February 28? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 100% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Silicon Valley" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Google" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Jensen Huang say "Million" or "Billion" 3+ times at the NVIDIA GTC keynote? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the Oscars? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Culture 100% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will "Opera" be said at the Oscars? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Nicole Kidman attend the Oscars? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Esports 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Tour De Force" be said during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 99% $-4,704
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin above 78,200 on April 17, 8PM ET? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Ethereum above 2,345 on April 17, 9PM ET? | Yes | 99¢ | 78¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Ethereum above 2,470 on April 17, 8PM ET? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Ethereum above 2,495 on April 17, 9PM ET? | No | 99¢ | 76¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Bitcoin above 75,800 on April 17, 9PM ET? | Yes | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Ethereum above 2,365 on April 17, 8PM ET? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Bitcoin above 73,400 on April 16, 8PM ET? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin above 76,000 on April 17, 10AM ET? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ethereum above 2,475 on April 17, 4PM ET? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $454 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $82 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $269 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $140 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 78,600 on April 17, 8PM ET? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $230 | 18/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,360 on April 17, 9PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 78¢ | $-23 | $104 | 18/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,455 on April 17, 8PM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $104 | 18/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,480 on April 17, 9PM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 55¢ | $-47 | $104 | 18/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,345 on April 17, 9PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 78¢ | $-21 | $99 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 78,200 on April 17, 8PM ET? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $80 | 18/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,495 on April 17, 9PM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 76¢ | $-12 | $54 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,800 on April 17, 9PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $45 | 18/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,365 on April 17, 8PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 18/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,470 on April 17, 8PM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 17? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $815 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,800 on April 16, 8PM ET? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $150 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,400 on April 16, 8PM ET? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $118 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. New York Mets | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $104 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,000 on April 17, 10AM ET? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $111 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,460 on April 17, 4PM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 74,000 on April 17, 6AM ET? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $483 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,475 on April 17, 4PM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $89 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,425 on April 17, 9AM ET? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $442 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,505 on April 17, 5PM ET? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $290 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,400 on April 17, 5AM ET? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $360 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,200 on April 16, 8PM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $76 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,200 on April 17, 12PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $73 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,000 on April 17, 5AM ET? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $329 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,400 on April 17, 4PM ET? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $350 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,390 on April 16, 8PM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 74,000 on April 16, 9PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $62 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 79,400 on April 17, 12PM ET? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $144 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,410 on April 17, 9AM ET? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $309 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,310 on April 16, 9PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 79,000 on April 17, 4PM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $51 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 78,600 on April 17, 4PM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,370 on April 17, 5PM ET? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $159 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 79,800 on April 17, 12PM ET? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $93 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,800 on April 17, 6AM ET? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $78 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,385 on April 17, 4PM ET? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $150 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,370 on April 17, 4PM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 76,200 on April 17, 11AM ET? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $209 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,490 on April 17, 5PM ET? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $69 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,200 on April 17, 6AM ET? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $67 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,395 on April 17, 6AM ET? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $62 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum above 2,440 on April 17, 11AM ET? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,800 on April 17, 12PM ET? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $73 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |