Win rate
94.4%
304 W / 18 L
Total PnL
$-44,740
realized $-55,198 · unrealized $10,459
Portfolio
$10,459
volume $2,848,962
Predictions
375
0.5/day · avg $7,597
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/12/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Mentions 94% +$7,500
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$5,827 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$148 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$355 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
Other 95% +$5,439
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 93¢ | +$5 | win |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$190 | win |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$198 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | win |
| LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Invictus Gaming | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
| Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
Esports 100% +$2,362
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | JD Gaming | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) | Hanwha Life Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) | GamerLegion | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | FURIA | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1,780 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO3) | Team Falcons | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN (BO3) | paiN | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$201 | win |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | Top Esports | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3) | Gen.G | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3) | KT Rolster | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO1) | G2 Esports | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
Crypto 100% +$833
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 27? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | Down | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$121 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Bitcoin above $112K on August 20? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$160 | win |
| Will Ethereum hit $3,750 by January 31, 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Dogecoin above $0.40 on January 24? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Politics 100% +$706
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 80¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | win |
| Will Trump end NASA in 2025? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will John Cornyn vote "Yea" on an Epstein disclosure bill in 2025? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| Will Trump say "Radical Left Lunatic" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" 7+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 18 2025? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump say "Phase Two" during Saudi PM events on November 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 90% +$74
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kanye visit Israel by December 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 26? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 1? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 10? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Finance 100% +$32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
Tech 83% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Diddy rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the assassination of Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched news on Google this year? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| OpenAI browser by October 31? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Google have the best AI model on October 31? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24? | Yes | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Culture 50% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | loss |
Elections 83% $-141
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Tuesday 12 PM ET? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-144 | loss |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 94% $-61,595
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | Yes | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$417 | win |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 97¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$244 | win |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Bucks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| 76ers vs. Raptors | 76ers | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Packers vs. Bears | Packers | 94¢ | 0¢ | $-12,673 | loss |
| Knicks vs. Suns | Suns | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$158 | win |
| Rockets vs. Trail Blazers | Rockets | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-57,699 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$190 | $4,682 | 18/04/2026 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 98.0¢ | 98¢ | +$17 | $3,349 | 18/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Suns | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $332 | 18/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$244 | $3,830 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$198 | $2,628 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | $3,517 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | $2,116 | 11/04/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner | Invictus Gaming | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $71 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | $74,151 | 31/03/2026 |
| Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $16,632 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $33,228 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $25,855 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $480 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by January 31? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $3,684 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $2,838 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $3,643 | 31/01/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $5,683 | 16/01/2026 |
| Bucks vs. Spurs | Spurs | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $53 | 16/01/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $4,429 | 16/01/2026 |
| LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner | EDward Gaming | 89.5¢ | 0¢ | $-5,743 | $5,743 | 16/01/2026 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | Anyones Legend | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$277 | $5,365 | 15/01/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Weibo Gaming | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $5,642 | 15/01/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) | Bilibili Gaming | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $1,402 | 15/01/2026 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) | Weibo Gaming | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$808 | $4,267 | 14/01/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) | JD Gaming | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $5,311 | 14/01/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Under | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $5,227 | 14/01/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | JD Gaming | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $1,700 | 14/01/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Raptors | 76ers | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $686 | 13/01/2026 |
| ASB Classic: Sofia Costoulas vs Kaitlin Quevedo | Costoulas | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $1,051 | 13/01/2026 |
| Packers vs. Bears | Packers | 94.0¢ | 0¢ | $-12,673 | $13,359 | 11/01/2026 |
| Will US Avellino 1912 win on 2026-01-10? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$329 | $5,151 | 10/01/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Suns | Suns | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$158 | $12,375 | 10/01/2026 |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-10? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $3,920 | 10/01/2026 |
| Arizona Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogs | Arizona Wildcats | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $4,495 | 10/01/2026 |
| Will Cheltenham Town FC win on 2026-01-10? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $141 | 10/01/2026 |
| Utah Tech Trailblazers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines | Utah Valley Wolverines | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $124 | 10/01/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Trail Blazers | Rockets | 83.0¢ | 0¢ | $-57,699 | $57,699 | 10/01/2026 |
| Suns vs. Grizzlies | Suns | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$777 | $38,093 | 08/01/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Thunder | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$281 | $27,814 | 08/01/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Hawks | Hawks | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $6,138 | 08/01/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Celtics | Nuggets | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $864 | 08/01/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5 | Over | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $113 | 08/01/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? | No | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | +$5,827 | $114,604 | 06/01/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $2,718 | 06/01/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Thunder | Hornets | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $509 | 06/01/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Lakers | Lakers | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$550 | $26,959 | 05/01/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Suns | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$304 | $14,898 | 05/01/2026 |
| Bucks vs. Kings | Bucks | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$220 | $24,229 | 05/01/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Trail Blazers | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1,774 | $61,833 | 04/01/2026 |
| Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-01-04? | Yes | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$591 | $30,041 | 04/01/2026 |