Win rate
6.8%
18 W / 247 L
Total PnL
$10,065
realized $-27,121 · unrealized $37,186
Portfolio
$37,186
volume $899,418
Predictions
2,957
51.3/day · avg $304
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 07/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Culture 100% +$241
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? | Yes | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$187 | win |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
Politics 50% +$116
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50¢ | 28¢ | $-4,490 | loss |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 72¢ | +$4,490 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 51¢ | 32¢ | $-114 | loss |
Mentions 5% $-13,311
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-221 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-175 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-174 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
Weather 5% $-30,854
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 17? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 17? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-346 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 17? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$295 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 17? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$168 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 17? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$162 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 17? | Yes | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$241 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 17? | Yes | 19¢ | 28¢ | +$33 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 16? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-241 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 16? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-425 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 16? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-336 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 34.6¢ | 20¢ | $-700 | $1,659 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 8.6¢ | 2¢ | $-307 | $415 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 45.3¢ | 78¢ | +$1,486 | $2,141 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | $82 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 4.8¢ | 0¢ | $-221 | $231 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | Yes | 38.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1,600 | $1,638 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17? | Yes | 52.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1,927 | $2,170 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on April 17? | Yes | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $-76 | $80 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 17? | Yes | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on April 17? | Yes | 55.7¢ | 100¢ | +$671 | $860 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 17? | Yes | 6.2¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | $80 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on April 17? | Yes | 28.4¢ | 0¢ | $-346 | $356 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 17? | Yes | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | $67 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 17? | Yes | 3.1¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 17? | Yes | 23.2¢ | 0¢ | $-184 | $188 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 17? | Yes | 61.5¢ | 100¢ | +$295 | $478 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 68¢ | +$230 | $200 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 51.2¢ | 32¢ | $-114 | $302 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on April 17? | Yes | 22.2¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $106 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on April 17? | Yes | 13.3¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $63 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on April 17? | Yes | 63.1¢ | 100¢ | +$162 | $283 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 17? | Yes | 58.6¢ | 100¢ | +$168 | $242 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 17? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $42 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 17? | Yes | 36.6¢ | 0¢ | $-146 | $149 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 17? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 100¢ | +$241 | $158 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 17? | Yes | 18.7¢ | 28¢ | +$33 | $73 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on April 16? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $35 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 16? | Yes | 50.8¢ | 0¢ | $-506 | $516 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 16? | Yes | 46.1¢ | 0¢ | $-425 | $435 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 16? | Yes | 40.9¢ | 0¢ | $-336 | $342 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on April 16? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | $75 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 16? | Yes | 49.4¢ | 0¢ | $-392 | $400 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on April 16? | Yes | 4.7¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $36 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 16? | Yes | 34.1¢ | 0¢ | $-241 | $246 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on April 16? | Yes | 18.1¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | $116 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on April 16? | Yes | 10.9¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $62 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on April 16? | Yes | 41.2¢ | 0¢ | $-228 | $234 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 16? | Yes | 20.1¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | $109 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 16? | Yes | 7.6¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C or higher on April 16? | Yes | 22.9¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | $116 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 16? | Yes | 36.9¢ | 0¢ | $-173 | $176 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 16? | Yes | 21.3¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $95 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on April 16? | Yes | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 15? | Yes | 61.6¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $25 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 55.2¢ | 0¢ | $-1,814 | $1,849 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | $62 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 15? | Yes | 38.9¢ | 0¢ | $-676 | $691 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on April 15? | Yes | 10.3¢ | 0¢ | $-127 | $132 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 15? | Yes | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $57 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 15? | Yes | 35.9¢ | 0¢ | $-359 | $369 | 15/04/2026 |