ArtIronman

Weather 85% +$95 $4,226 vol · 158 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or higher on April 19?	No	86¢	87¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 19?	No	95¢	94¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or higher on April 19?	No	98¢	98¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 19?	No	83¢	82¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 19?	No	87¢	86¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on April 19?	No	91¢	90¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 19?	No	86¢	88¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on April 19?	No	97¢	97¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 19?	No	96¢	92¢	$-1	loss
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on April 19?	No	94¢	90¢	$-1	loss

Sports 75% +$60 $287 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will F1: The Movie win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	88¢	100¢	+$3	win
Capitals vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	61¢	100¢	+$32	win
Lakers vs. Warriors	Lakers	61¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Seahawks	69¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Alvin Kamara be traded?	No	91¢	90¢	$-9	loss

Tech 100% +$32 $674 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	91¢	96¢	+$5	win
ChatGPT Full Outage by April 10?	No	93¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?	No	94¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?	No	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will no CEO be announced in 2025?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$0	win

Politics 92% +$31 $1,368 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$7	win
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	82¢	87¢	+$5	win
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	77¢	84¢	+$4	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	86¢	93¢	+$1	win
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?	No	93¢	94¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	92¢	92¢	+$0	—
Trump out as President by April 30?	No	98¢	99¢	+$0	win
Trump out as President by March 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?	No	97¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Crypto 89% +$10 $3,317 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	No	83¢	60¢	$-2	loss
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	52¢	51¢	$-2	loss
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	Yes	19¢	6¢	$-8	loss
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	26¢	10¢	$-33	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 6-12?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Solana reach $130 in March?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$1	win

Elections 67% +$3 $332 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	96¢	98¢	+$1	win
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?	No	90¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will PH win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?	No	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?	No	97¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Economy 100% +$1 $100 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	96¢	99¢	+$1	win

Culture 79% $-19 $883 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Benicio Del Toro win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	89¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	86¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$2	win

Geopolitics 91% $-57 $5,239 vol · 43 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?	No	89¢	94¢	+$7	win
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	95¢	94¢	$-4	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	83¢	94¢	+$2	win
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	97¢	97¢	+$0	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	97¢	99¢	+$13	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	85¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	No	90¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$5	win
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win

Finance 91% $-78 $776 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 15?	Up	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 14?	Up	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 13?	Up	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?	Down	76¢	100¢	+$3	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 10?	Up	30¢	0¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 9?	Up	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?	Down	93¢	0¢	$-115	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?	Up	82¢	100¢	+$21	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 31?	Up	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	No	87¢	100¢	+$2	win

Other 72% $-138 $6,607 vol · 76 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pacifica FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	96¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	95¢	99¢	$-2	loss
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	97¢	94¢	$-4	loss
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	92¢	92¢	+$2	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	86¢	82¢	$-11	loss
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	96¢	96¢	+$0	win
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	97¢	64¢	+$0	win
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	93¢	93¢	$-2	loss
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	96¢	96¢	+$2	win
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	94¢	95¢	+$1	win