Win rate
52.8%
48 W / 43 L
Total PnL
$-189
realized $-1,318 · unrealized $1,130
Portfolio
$1,130
volume $142,814
Predictions
205
4.0/day · avg $697
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 50% $-44
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 74¢ | 70¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 9¢ | $-0 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 22, 2026? | No | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Maple Leafs | 26¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Crypto 60% $-62
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | Down | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | Up | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | Up | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | Up | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Up | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
Elections 27% $-231
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election? | Yes | 59¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 17¢ | 75¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 79¢ | 77¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 33¢ | 1¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | No | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
Esports 30% $-424
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A | PARIVISION | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-273 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | FaZe | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | TYLOO | 61¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FUZOS vs 8Sins (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Group B | FUZOS | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | The Last Resort | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | Rune Eaters | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs Mir Gaming (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season | ONSIDE GAMING | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B | NIP | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-144 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Back to Back (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group Stage | Back to Back | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | Natus Vincere | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
Other 54% $-585
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 75¢ | 76¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 31¢ | 34¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 54¢ | 88¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Busan: August Holmgren vs Alexis Galarneau | Alexis Galarneau | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 28¢ | 1¢ | $-1,599 | loss |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 7¢ | 13¢ | $-1 | loss |
| VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | Illinois Fighting Illini | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | VCU Rams | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Sports 68% $-782
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 38¢ | 44¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 21¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Celtics vs. Hawks | Celtics | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card) | Lerone Murphy | 32¢ | 0¢ | +$112 | win |
| Warriors vs. Hawks | Warriors | 25¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Heat vs. Rockets | Heat | 43¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Pacers vs. Spurs | Pacers | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Celtics vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 34¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | win |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 46¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets | Raptors | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 17.2¢ | 75¢ | +$4 | $21 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 22.9¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $238 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 78.8¢ | 77¢ | +$0 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 28.4¢ | 1¢ | $-1,599 | $1,633 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 33.3¢ | 1¢ | $-49 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 51.6¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $168 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $101 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 22, 2026? | No | 39.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $210 | 31/03/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Hawks | Celtics | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 30/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card) | Lerone Murphy | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | +$112 | $100 | 22/03/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Hawks | Warriors | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $50 | 22/03/2026 |
| Heat vs. Rockets | Heat | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $30 | 22/03/2026 |
| Pacers vs. Spurs | Pacers | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | Down | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 22/03/2026 |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PARIVISION (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A | PARIVISION | 32.4¢ | 0¢ | $-273 | $273 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $112 | 21/03/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | $50 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 13¢ | $-1 | $50 | 21/03/2026 |
| VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | Illinois Fighting Illini | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $37 | 21/03/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets | Nuggets | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $22 | 21/03/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets | Raptors | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $44 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Ceará SC win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Cuiabá EC win on 2026-03-21? | Yes | 6.4¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 21/03/2026 |
| VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | VCU Rams | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 21/03/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Maple Leafs | 26.5¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 21/03/2026 |
| Islanders vs. Canadiens | Islanders | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | $126 | 21/03/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Kings | 76ers | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | $888 | 20/03/2026 |
| Flyers vs. Kings | Flyers | 73.8¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $230 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-03-20? | Yes | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $100 | 20/03/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Heat | Heat | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $100 | 20/03/2026 |
| Bucks vs. Jazz | Jazz | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $100 | 20/03/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Bulls | Cavaliers | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $100 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-03-20? | Yes | 81.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $134 | 20/03/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Pelicans | Pelicans | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 20/03/2026 |
| Bucks vs. Jazz | Bucks | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $100 | 20/03/2026 |
| Suns vs. Spurs | Spurs | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 20/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | FaZe | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $40 | 20/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A | TYLOO | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | $-21 | $50 | 20/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FUZOS vs 8Sins (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #19 Group B | FUZOS | 16.6¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 20/03/2026 |
| Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide | Hofstra Pride | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | $507 | 20/03/2026 |
| Blues vs. Flames | Flames | 50.6¢ | 100¢ | +$195 | $200 | 19/03/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Lakers | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | $208 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will Konyaspor win on 2026-03-19? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $373 | 19/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | The Last Resort | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $569 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-19? | Yes | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $724 | 19/03/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Mavericks | Hawks | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $200 | 19/03/2026 |
| Magic vs. Hornets | Hornets | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 19/03/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Wizards | Pistons | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 19/03/2026 |