Win rate
43.3%
552 W / 723 L
Total PnL
$-38,178
realized $-59,858 · unrealized $21,680
Portfolio
$21,680
volume $3,425,212
Predictions
1,188
33.8/day · avg $2,883
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Culture 42% +$4,108
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$321 | win |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$2,210 | win |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$1,857 | win |
| Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-362 | loss |
Esports 30% +$197
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 | M80 | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 | Liquid | 55¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 | Heroic | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs | Heroic | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$444 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FlyQuest (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs | FlyQuest | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 | Team Liquid | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs | 100 Thieves | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-203 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | Spirit | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In | FUT Esports | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$119 | win |
| Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs megoshort (BO3) | CSDIILIT | 43¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
Tech 60% +$94
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$145 | win |
Weather 67% +$17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers | Auburn Tigers | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-149 | loss |
| Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$112 | win |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes | Miami Hurricanes | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | win |
Finance 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 51¢ | 66¢ | $-4 | loss |
Economy 56% $-22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 5¢ | 1¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
Elections 57% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 18¢ | 19¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 55¢ | 56¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 48¢ | 44¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 51¢ | 60¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 50¢ | 40¢ | $-27 | loss |
Politics 45% $-2,606
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 11¢ | 8¢ | $-277 | loss |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$53 | win |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-160 | loss |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | Yes | 28¢ | 64¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | No | 70¢ | 36¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? | No | 19¢ | 10¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | Yes | 32¢ | 60¢ | +$28 | win |
Geopolitics 41% $-4,594
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | $-423 | loss |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 69¢ | 78¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 51¢ | 84¢ | +$89 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 33¢ | 22¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 34¢ | 16¢ | $-71 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | 19¢ | 4¢ | $-10 | loss |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | No | 81¢ | 72¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | 79¢ | 97¢ | $-3 | loss |
Other 39% $-6,769
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 64¢ | 38¢ | $-17 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-88 | loss |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 66¢ | 64¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
Sports 45% $-14,239
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 89¢ | 89¢ | +$0 | win |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Oilers | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Ducks | 55¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Jets | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Predators | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 60¢ | 60¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 15¢ | 100¢ | +$531 | win |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | loss |
Crypto 43% $-15,192
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 21¢ | 22¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | No | 92¢ | 93¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April? | No | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-405 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | No | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-127 | loss |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-27? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 64.5¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $185 | 17/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Oilers | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $191 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Ducks | 54.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,240 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Jets | 71.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $47 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Predators | 47.8¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $1,453 | 17/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Hornets | 60.0¢ | 60¢ | $-1 | $74 | 17/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 15.4¢ | 100¢ | +$531 | $157 | 16/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 67.6¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | $411 | 16/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Blackhawks | Sharks | 53.1¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $114 | 16/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Canucks | Canucks | 47.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3,963 | $3,712 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 55.7¢ | 100¢ | +$135 | $222 | 15/04/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Senators | 70.5¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $140 | 15/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Blues | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $600 | 15/04/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers | Panthers | 41.3¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $34 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 82.1¢ | 0¢ | +$40 | $300 | 15/04/2026 |
| Jets vs. Utah | Utah | 73.2¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $58 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 77.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $973 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers | Red Wings | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $31 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Magic | 36.8¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $42 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 15.8¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $126 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Lightning | 57.8¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $201 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 45.4¢ | 10¢ | $-140 | $452 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $-226 | $600 | 15/04/2026 |
| Stars vs. Sabres | Sabres | 49.3¢ | 0¢ | $-273 | $4,075 | 15/04/2026 |
| Stars vs. Sabres | Stars | 52.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1,105 | $4,619 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Canucks | Kings | 54.5¢ | 0¢ | $-4,346 | $4,356 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | Yes | 53.2¢ | 0¢ | $-219 | $830 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 62.7¢ | 0¢ | $-153 | $385 | 15/04/2026 |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks | Sabres | 65.1¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $165 | 14/04/2026 |
| Capitals vs. Blue Jackets | Capitals | 28.6¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $27 | 14/04/2026 |
| Jets vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 62.4¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $70 | 14/04/2026 |
| Wild vs. Blues | Wild | 41.9¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $41 | 14/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Hornets | Hornets | 70.2¢ | 100¢ | $-158 | $405 | 14/04/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Oilers | Avalanche | 52.2¢ | 100¢ | $-966 | $5,453 | 14/04/2026 |
| Avalanche vs. Oilers | Oilers | 49.2¢ | 0¢ | $-1,652 | $5,437 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14? | Yes | 8.9¢ | 0¢ | $-325 | $126 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? | No | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | $72 | 14/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Ducks | Canucks | 40.1¢ | 100¢ | +$816 | $1,920 | 13/04/2026 |
| Stars vs. Maple Leafs | Stars | 60.9¢ | 100¢ | +$661 | $1,836 | 13/04/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Lightning | Lightning | 56.8¢ | 100¢ | +$485 | $677 | 13/04/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | $600 | 13/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Nuggets | 37.0¢ | 100¢ | +$99 | $99 | 13/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 62.5¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $178 | 13/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Suns | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $40 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 76.3¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 47.9¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $20 | 13/04/2026 |
| Utah vs. Flames | Utah | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Timberwolves | Pelicans | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 13/04/2026 |