Win rate
48.1%
13 W / 14 L
Total PnL
$-191
realized $-869 · unrealized $678
Portfolio
$678
volume $10,544
Predictions
26
0.9/day · avg $406
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/03/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 100% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Tech 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? | No | 84¢ | 91¢ | $-1 | loss |
Sports 0% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 81¢ | 78¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 60¢ | 44¢ | $-23 | loss |
Politics 0% $-31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 64¢ | 42¢ | $-31 | loss |
Geopolitics 60% $-61
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 77¢ | 84¢ | +$64 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 57¢ | 22¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$19 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 71¢ | 97¢ | +$42 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 59¢ | 41¢ | $-31 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-171 | loss |
Other 50% $-62
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 69¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 76¢ | 98¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 90¢ | 60¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | No | 16¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final? | Yes | 37¢ | 36¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 74¢ | 54¢ | $-73 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 46¢ | 46¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-67 | loss |
Recent Trades (27)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 71.8¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $125 | 12/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $115 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | $-67 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | No | 84.8¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $100 | 03/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $200 | 01/03/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 69.4¢ | 0¢ | $-171 | $171 | 01/01/1970 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 46.0¢ | 46¢ | +$1 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | No | 59.0¢ | 41¢ | $-31 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 71.4¢ | 97¢ | +$42 | $243 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 64.0¢ | 42¢ | $-31 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 74.0¢ | 54¢ | $-73 | $212 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 44¢ | $-2 | $72 | 07/05/2026 |
| Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 36¢ | $-1 | $50 | 07/05/2026 |
| Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $169 | 07/05/2026 |
| Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | No | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $20 | 07/05/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | Yes | 89.6¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $111 | 07/05/2026 |
| Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | Yes | 31.0¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $25 | 07/05/2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 60¢ | $-0 | $310 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 75.9¢ | 98¢ | +$19 | $280 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 89.0¢ | 94¢ | +$19 | $459 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? | No | 83.6¢ | 91¢ | $-1 | $100 | 30/06/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $89 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 69.0¢ | 84¢ | $-1 | $50 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 78¢ | $-1 | $146 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 44¢ | $-23 | $100 | 06/12/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 77.0¢ | 84¢ | +$64 | $587 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 57.0¢ | 22¢ | $-70 | $112 | 31/12/2026 |