skylove

Politics 85% +$36,517 $462,948 vol · 55 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	84¢	84¢	$-50	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	81¢	92¢	+$1,085	win
Trump out as President by June 30?	No	95¢	94¢	$-100	loss
Trump out as President by April 30?	No	99¢	99¢	+$20	win
Trump out as President by March 31?	No	95¢	100¢	+$372	win
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?	No	76¢	100¢	+$265	win
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?	No	81¢	100¢	+$311	win
Trump out as President in 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	92¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?	No	91¢	100¢	+$3	win

Geopolitics 75% +$30,269 $518,970 vol · 54 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	30¢	0¢	$-3,000	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	74¢	100¢	$-835	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	63¢	100¢	$-1,261	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	61¢	84¢	+$2,250	win
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	89¢	86¢	$-12	loss
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	84¢	92¢	+$38	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	66¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	73¢	94¢	+$2,073	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	87¢	99¢	+$1,110	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	71¢	97¢	$-88	loss

Other 74% +$11,854 $192,496 vol · 48 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	75¢	78¢	+$32	win
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	85¢	93¢	+$39	win
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	No	76¢	88¢	+$275	win
Another Elon baby by June 30?	No	76¢	88¢	+$95	win
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	95¢	100¢	+$137	win
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	74¢	99¢	$-72	loss
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?	No	90¢	100¢	+$815	win
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$408	win
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?	No	91¢	100¢	+$790	win
Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$280	win

Finance 100% +$9,502 $73,385 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?	No	80¢	100¢	+$46	win
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$131	win
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?	No	92¢	100¢	+$136	win

Elections 73% +$6,222 $133,289 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	53¢	40¢	$-7	loss
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	72¢	66¢	$-18	loss
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	99¢	100¢	$-15	loss
Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	No	96¢	100¢	+$44	win
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	78¢	89¢	+$3,574	win
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	Yes	91¢	96¢	+$134	win
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?	Yes	50¢	80¢	+$765	win
Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?	Yes	83¢	97¢	+$11	win
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$184	win
Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?	No	87¢	100¢	+$634	win

Tech 67% +$1,028 $22,992 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$1,054	win
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Golden by HUNTR/X be the #1 searched song on Google this year?	Yes	68¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will KPop Demon Hunters be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?	Yes	77¢	0¢	$-403	loss
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	93¢	100¢	+$340	win

Weather 100% +$85 $1,245 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 1°C on February 2?	No	95¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 0°C on January 31?	No	94¢	100¢	+$49	win

Economy 71% +$4 $124,206 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-4,000	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$940	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	No	93¢	100¢	+$2,870	win
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$107	win
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$115	win
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$1,497	win

Culture 0% $-1,325 $1,330 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-1,325	loss