Win rate
72.3%
68 W / 26 L
Total PnL
$3,794
realized $-8,062 · unrealized $11,856
Portfolio
$11,856
volume $142,675
Predictions
117
3.9/day · avg $1,219
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 74% +$4,106
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 85¢ | 78¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | — |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 88¢ | 74¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | Yes | 94¢ | 95¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | No | 94¢ | 86¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | No | 90¢ | 88¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-23? | No | 82¢ | 82¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | No | 87¢ | 90¢ | +$14 | win |
Economy 100% +$163
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$135 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$29 | win |
Crypto 100% +$132
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 23? | No | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 21? | No | 90¢ | 96¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 20? | No | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$63 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 19? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 17? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 28? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Finance 100% +$100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June? | Yes | 34¢ | 82¢ | +$45 | win |
Esports 50% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A | AaB Esport | 88¢ | 77¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | Fnatic | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | win |
Tech 67% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 96¢ | 93¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24? | No | 89¢ | 92¢ | +$3 | win |
| Spread: FC Metaloglobus București (-1.5) | FC Botoşani | 97¢ | 95¢ | $-3 | loss |
Politics 50% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30? | No | 90¢ | 88¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Mentions 67% $-18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in April 2026? | No | 88¢ | 90¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 78¢ | $-49 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
Sports 50% $-78
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-83 | loss |
Weather 59% $-240
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on April 21? | No | 88¢ | 86¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 21? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 21? | No | 92¢ | 96¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on April 21? | No | 88¢ | 85¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on April 21? | No | 98¢ | 93¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 21? | No | 89¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or higher on April 20? | Yes | 93¢ | 90¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on April 20? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 20? | No | 92¢ | 75¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 19? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Geopolitics 80% $-329
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Yes | 62¢ | 77¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30? | No | 89¢ | 96¢ | +$15 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 38¢ | 25¢ | $-417 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: SpVgg Greuther Fürth (-1.5) | SV Darmstadt 98 | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $502 | 19/04/2026 |
| Exact Score: Manchester City FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $502 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Club Puebla win on 2026-04-18? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $502 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Andrew Putnam finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Heritage? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $502 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 19? | No | 91.6¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $500 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 19? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $185 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 19? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $54 | 19/04/2026 |
| FC Andorra vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 4.5 | Under | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $22 | 19/04/2026 |
| Exact Score: Manchester City FC 0 - 0 Arsenal FC? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $23 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19? | No | 88.0¢ | 0¢ | $-254 | $363 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on April 19? | No | 87.0¢ | 72¢ | $-55 | $503 | 19/04/2026 |
| Exact Score: RC Strasbourg Alsace 0 - 3 Stade Rennais FC 1901? | No | 96.2¢ | 0¢ | $-342 | $342 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19? | No | 88.5¢ | 71¢ | $-11 | $56 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 19? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $120 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C or higher on April 19? | No | 89.0¢ | 99¢ | +$42 | $502 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on April 19? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $201 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 19? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $74 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 19? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $351 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 19? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-04-19? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $351 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on April 19? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $108 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage? | No | 87.1¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | $137 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $53 | 19/04/2026 |
| Exact Score: Real Salt Lake 2 - 1 San Diego FC? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $502 | 19/04/2026 |
| CD Nacional vs. FC Alverca: O/U 4.5 | Under | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $335 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5) | Henan FC | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $499 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Mazatlán FC (-1.5) | Querétaro FC | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $175 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: CA Independiente (-2.5) | CSyD Defensa y Justicia | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $304 | 18/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $502 | 18/04/2026 |
| Jeju SK FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5 | Under | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $281 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Austin FC (-1.5) | Toronto FC | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $224 | 18/04/2026 |
| Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5) | Club Atlético de Madrid | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $115 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $500 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 30°C on April 18? | No | 93.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $85 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Sporting Kansas City end in a draw? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $81 | 18/04/2026 |
| Exact Score: Vancouver Whitecaps FC 2 - 0 Sporting Kansas City? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $500 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on April 17? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 18/04/2026 |
| Exact Score: Vancouver Whitecaps FC 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $502 | 18/04/2026 |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 1 Cagliari Calcio? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Exact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 0 - 1 Cagliari Calcio? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Pcific Esports vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega | Fnatic | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$81 | $502 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 17? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $58 | 17/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 38.2¢ | 25¢ | $-417 | $611 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 23.0¢ | 100¢ | +$447 | $970 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 13.0¢ | 0¢ | +$119 | $119 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $538 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | $-835 | $835 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 6.8¢ | 0¢ | +$4,072 | $1,918 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | +$136 | $254 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | $48 | 13/04/2026 |