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0xAed4a51eE328Aa5eD6b5507C0a4f5BEF01aC844e-1768919830990
0xaed4a51ee328aa5ed6b5507c0a4f5bef01ac844e · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
79.0%
15 W / 4 L
Total PnL
$292
realized $-1,336 · unrealized $1,628
Portfolio
$1,628
volume $8,525
Predictions
51
1.8/day · avg $167
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 20/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 91% +$352
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 27¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | win |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 27¢ | 55¢ | +$76 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 35¢ | 57¢ | +$39 | win |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 37¢ | 49¢ | +$21 | win |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? | Yes | 34¢ | 50¢ | +$12 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 38¢ | +$56 | win |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 18¢ | 6¢ | $-48 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Other 100% +$292
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 17¢ | 53¢ | +$242 | win |
| Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 3 Real Madrid CF? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | +$51 | win |
Politics 60% +$222
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 71¢ | 48¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 24¢ | 50¢ | +$166 | win |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 10¢ | $-84 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 15¢ | 40¢ | +$156 | win |
Esports 0% $-44
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winner | Bushido Wildcats | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
Recent Trades (19)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports - Game 2 Winner | Bushido Wildcats | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 16/04/2026 |
| Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 3 Real Madrid CF? | Yes | 16.1¢ | 0¢ | +$51 | $33 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $114 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 59.2¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $40 | 10/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | Yes | 15.3¢ | 40¢ | +$156 | $96 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 17.5¢ | 6¢ | $-48 | $70 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 10¢ | $-84 | $150 | 21/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 17.8¢ | 38¢ | +$56 | $57 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | Yes | 24.3¢ | 50¢ | +$166 | $161 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 53¢ | +$242 | $119 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 50¢ | +$42 | $114 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 27.4¢ | 55¢ | +$76 | $76 | 30/04/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | 35.4¢ | 57¢ | +$39 | $65 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 36.7¢ | 49¢ | +$21 | $63 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April? | Yes | 34.2¢ | 50¢ | +$12 | $25 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 44.7¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $82 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 42.2¢ | 0¢ | +$46 | $137 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | 71.0¢ | 48¢ | $-21 | $142 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 27.1¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $57 | 30/06/2026 |