randomlypunting

Sports 79% +$8,011 $78,731 vol · 58 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	11¢	3¢	$-64	loss
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	16¢	17¢	+$22	win
Will Clavicular be unbanned from Kick by April 15?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-149	loss
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$190	win
Will Czechia win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$84	win
Celtics vs. Cavaliers	Celtics	89¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$352	win
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$274	win

Economy 67% +$2,772 $62,644 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-250	loss
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?	Yes	90¢	100¢	$-61	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$728	win
Brazil unemployment below 6.3% for Q4 2025?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$11	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	67¢	0¢	$-1,381	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$146	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$58	win
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$22	win

Finance 88% +$1,439 $28,160 vol · 65 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	91¢	56¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 25?	Up	93¢	100¢	+$76	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 25?	Down	45¢	0¢	$-90	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?	Up	96¢	100¢	+$28	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 19?	Down	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 16?	Up	98¢	100¢	+$23	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 13?	Down	44¢	0¢	$-193	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?	Down	66¢	100¢	+$101	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 10?	Down	90¢	0¢	$-296	loss

Esports 75% +$80 $757 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffs	CYBERSHOKE Esports	76¢	100¢	+$10	win
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs FOKUS (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs	100 Thieves	71¢	100¢	+$69	win
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage	Acend	60¢	0¢	$-60	loss
League of Legends: T1 vs. Nongshim Red Force	T1	89¢	100¢	+$61	win

Mentions 100% +$32 $300 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 17, 2026?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$26	win

Weather 75% $-234 $1,406 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$39	win
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$50	win
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?	Yes	81¢	0¢	$-323	loss
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on January 1?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Culture 71% $-235 $6,322 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	67¢	54¢	$-63	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?	Yes	55¢	0¢	$-89	loss
Will Hoppers be the highest grossing movie this weekend?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	66¢	100¢	+$68	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	77¢	100¢	$-28	loss
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?	No	95¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will DTMF (Bad Bunny) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?	No	98¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will PEAK win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?	Yes	74¢	0¢	$-418	loss

Crypto 60% $-1,268 $59,579 vol · 84 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$104	win
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	81¢	18¢	$-61	loss
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	89¢	100¢	$-125	loss
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	42¢	0¢	$-754	loss
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	81¢	65¢	$-99	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	47¢	56¢	+$40	win
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 14-20?	Yes	98¢	99¢	+$3	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 16?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 7-13?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$80	win

Tech 68% $-2,385 $21,490 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $195 on April 16?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026	Yes	76¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	88¢	0¢	$-835	loss
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of December 29 above $310?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$71	win
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $480-$490 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 29 – Jan 2?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-192	loss
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$644	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$95	win
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$51	win

Politics 62% $-2,644 $73,209 vol · 98 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	54¢	39¢	$-200	loss
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$143	win
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$93	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	79¢	100¢	$-16	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	96¢	100¢	$-69	loss
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	61¢	60¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	4¢	1¢	$-364	loss
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	97¢	99¢	+$242	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?	No	85¢	100¢	$-71	loss
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?	No	98¢	100¢	+$65	win

Elections 61% $-14,662 $181,034 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	18¢	17¢	$-24	loss
Will Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	82¢	14¢	+$5	win
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	70¢	0¢	$-7,993	loss
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	94¢	0¢	$-112	loss
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	38¢	42¢	+$32	win
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	90¢	94¢	+$15	win
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Tisza win at least 130 seats?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$76	win
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	4¢	0¢	$-94	loss
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 15-18%?	Yes	5¢	4¢	$-30	loss

Other 62% $-19,653 $369,144 vol · 332 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	60¢	100¢	+$160	win
Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	10¢	0¢	$-109	loss
P2P FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	76¢	100¢	+$70	win
Unitas Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Yellow FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	17¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	55¢	0¢	$-273	loss
Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	98¢	89¢	$-6	loss
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	79¢	75¢	$-16	loss
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	81¢	82¢	+$4	win
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	80¢	87¢	+$14	win

Geopolitics 71% $-68,533 $396,349 vol · 210 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	28¢	100¢	+$514	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$138	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	21¢	16¢	+$40	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 11, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$5	win
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	2¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-158	loss
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	Yes	39¢	16¢	$-54	loss
Will there be a new supreme leader of Iran before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	60¢	0¢	$-430	loss