Win rate
93.3%
98 W / 7 L
Total PnL
$565
realized $-1,978 · unrealized $2,543
Portfolio
$2,543
volume $47,646
Predictions
113
1.6/day · avg $422
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/12/1969 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 100% +$386
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$135 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
Elections 100% +$175
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$175 | win |
Other 75% +$104
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? | Yes | 24¢ | 8¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 67¢ | 99¢ | +$23 | win |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Politics 71% +$94
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$101 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Crypto 95% $-47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$175 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17? | Yes | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 16? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 15? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 13? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 13? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 12? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 11? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 11? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 5? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 17? | Yes | 96.3¢ | 98¢ | +$37 | $2,136 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 16? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $345 | 16/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | +$135 | $1,579 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 89.3¢ | 100¢ | +$101 | $842 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 15? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $261 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 13? | Yes | 89.1¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $389 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 13? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $249 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 72.9¢ | 100¢ | +$175 | $471 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 12? | Yes | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $149 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 67.0¢ | 99¢ | +$23 | $50 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 11? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $685 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 11? | Yes | 91.5¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $199 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 11? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $333 | 11/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $403 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 5? | Yes | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $70 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 5? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $80 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 4? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $486 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 4? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $529 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March? | Yes | 75.6¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | No | 91.6¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | $981 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 94.3¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $375 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 29? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $101 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 27? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 27? | Yes | 87.6¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 26? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $70 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 25? | Yes | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $648 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 25? | Yes | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $348 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 25? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $311 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 16-22? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $325 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 March 16-22? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $150 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 March 16-22? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $100 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 22? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $567 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 22? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $417 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 21? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 20? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $591 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 20? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 19? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $350 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 19? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $200 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 18? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $150 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 17? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $872 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $430 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 17? | Yes | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $90 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 17? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $40 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on March 17? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $200 | 17/03/2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 16? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $350 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 16? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $317 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,300 March 9-15? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $498 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 March 9-15? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $271 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 9-15? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $90 | 16/03/2026 |