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Other 72% +$403 $4,692 vol · 97 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?	No	85¢	99¢	+$9	win
Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	86¢	99¢	+$24	win
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?	Yes	17¢	48¢	+$84	win
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	92¢	92¢	+$0	win
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	69¢	88¢	+$15	win
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	78¢	80¢	+$1	win
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	67¢	74¢	+$3	win
Will Manchester United qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	81¢	88¢	+$2	win
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$22	win
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	No	79¢	100¢	+$10	win

Tech 73% +$92 $2,396 vol · 45 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	No	53¢	58¢	+$3	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	65¢	70¢	+$3	win
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?	No	76¢	74¢	$-1	loss
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	68¢	30¢	$-12	loss
Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?	No	90¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	92¢	93¢	+$0	win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$19	win
GPT ads by March 31?	Yes	57¢	100¢	$-20	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	78¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Elections 100% +$85 $671 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?	No	85¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Netherlands Parliamentary Election: GL-PvdA vs CDA	GL-PvdA	77¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win

Crypto 89% +$64 $616 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	No	70¢	90¢	+$12	win
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	91¢	93¢	+$9	win
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	82¢	51¢	$-37	loss
Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	83¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	87¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?	No	81¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	87¢	100¢	+$10	win

Economy 100% +$11 $25 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	67¢	100¢	+$11	win

Geopolitics 75% $-25 $131 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	85¢	76¢	+$0	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?	No	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Hamas agree to disarm by November 30?	No	92¢	100¢	+$1	win

Politics 71% $-66 $403 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	80¢	92¢	+$0	—
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	83¢	92¢	+$8	win
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?	No	74¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?	No	91¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Trump sue the BBC?	No	57¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Culture 76% $-69 $2,367 vol · 54 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "XO, Kitty: Season 3" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	60¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will "The Truth & Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will "Trust Me: The False Prophet" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will "XO, Kitty Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will "Anaconda" be the top US Netflix movie this week?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will "Age of Attraction: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	75¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	29¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$10	win

Sports 60% $-75 $671 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?	No	66¢	84¢	+$7	win
Will Marc Guehi sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?	No	80¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	No	74¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will OpenAI’s GPT 5 lose the NOF1.ai competition?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$72	win
Will any AI reach $50k in Alpha Arena AI trading competition?	No	96¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?	Yes	74¢	0¢	$-125	loss

Finance 25% $-128 $256 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	75¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	82¢	26¢	$-95	loss
Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	No	79¢	26¢	$-34	loss