Win rate
93.6%
292 W / 20 L
Total PnL
$-1,381
realized $-2,067 · unrealized $686
Portfolio
$686
volume $173,363
Predictions
430
8.0/day · avg $403
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/01/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 92% +$140
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1PM ET | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 October 20-26? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $108,000 September 15-21? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $4900 September 8–14? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 September 1–7? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August? | No | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Politics 100% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$18 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 100% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 51¢ | 40¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| French election called by December 31? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Other 82% $-10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | Yes | 91¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Canada vs. USA: O/U 5.5 | Under | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Nigeria win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
Sports 80% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will France record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will George Russell finish fourth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Commanders vs. Lions | Lions | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Texans vs. Chiefs | Chiefs | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Geopolitics 88% $-741
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | 55¢ | 28¢ | +$3 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$120 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-264 | loss |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Weather 95% $-957
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on April 17? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 17? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 96¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | Yes | 98¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 16? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on April 17? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $63 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on April 17? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $298 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 33°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $191 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17? | No | 97.9¢ | 96¢ | $-1 | $98 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17? | Yes | 97.5¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | $98 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 16? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on April 16? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $169 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 16? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $167 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on April 16? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $172 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 16? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $150 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on April 16? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on April 16? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on April 16? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or higher on April 16? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 16? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $48 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 16? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 15? | Yes | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $287 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 15? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $199 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on April 15? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $199 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 15? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 15? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $91 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on April 15? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 0¢ | $-494 | $497 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on April 14? | Yes | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $188 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 14? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $449 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 14? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $214 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on April 14? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $294 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C or higher on April 14? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $205 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 14? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $300 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on April 14? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 13? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $246 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 13? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $476 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 13? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $310 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on April 13? | Yes | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $104 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 13? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $274 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 13? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $223 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 13? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or higher on April 13? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $101 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on April 13? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on April 13? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on April 13? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on April 12? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $155 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 12? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $549 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on April 12? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $199 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 12? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $239 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on April 12? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $299 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on April 12? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $54 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 12? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $150 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on April 12? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $110 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on April 12? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $71 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 12? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 12/04/2026 |