Win rate
42.7%
35 W / 47 L
Total PnL
$-1,627
realized $-4,936 · unrealized $3,309
Portfolio
$3,309
volume $314,594
Predictions
188
5.1/day · avg $1,673
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 16/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 33% +$292
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 38¢ | 39¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30? | Yes | 12¢ | 27¢ | +$554 | win |
| Will Malta win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | No | 38¢ | 37¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-266 | loss |
| Will Trump say "NATO" or "Friend" or "Ally" 7+ times during events with Japanese PM? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-81 | loss |
Sports 47% +$85
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5 | Over | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 | Under | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$143 | win |
| Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 | Over | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5 | Over | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | win |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | Heat | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5 | Over | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5 | Over | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 245.5 | Under | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5 | Under | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 248.5 | Under | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
Weather 0% $-24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
Elections 0% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 15¢ | 66¢ | +$0 | — |
Mentions 0% $-25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Esports 67% $-32
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5 | Over | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5 | Over | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group C | MANA eSports | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | loss |
Tech 20% $-84
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | No | 18¢ | 20¢ | +$4 | win |
| Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? | Yes | 47¢ | 36¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 end of March? | No | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 25? | Down | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
Other 61% $-150
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perle Labs FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 30¢ | 38¢ | +$13 | win |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? | No | 60¢ | 72¢ | +$25 | win |
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | No | 36¢ | 1¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 6¢ | 6¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 9¢ | 41¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 29¢ | 24¢ | $-102 | loss |
| Will Malta be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$5 | win |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30? | Yes | 6¢ | 3¢ | $-12 | loss |
Geopolitics 41% $-452
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$16 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Iran strike East–West Crude Oil Pipeline by April 30? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | No | 11¢ | 34¢ | +$46 | win |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31? | No | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | win |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | loss |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | loss |
| Will Iran strike UAE again in March? | No | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-466 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-652
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-250 | loss |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 17-23? | No | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | loss |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-308 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5 | Over | 12.1¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 18/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 | Under | 46.3¢ | 100¢ | +$143 | $123 | 17/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5 | Over | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $48 | 17/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5 | Over | 35.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $46 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | Heat | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $34 | 14/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5 | Over | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $21 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Mavericks: O/U 245.5 | Under | 49.1¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 13/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5 | Over | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $30 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 8.8¢ | 0¢ | $-146 | $152 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | No | 37.0¢ | 1¢ | $-57 | $59 | 12/04/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5 | Under | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 11/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Jazz: O/U 248.5 | Under | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $25 | 11/04/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5 | Over | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $20 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | Rockets | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $21 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026? | No | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Warriors (-4.5) | Warriors | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Bulls (-6.5) | Wizards | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 09/04/2026 |
| Spread: Bulls (-5.5) | Wizards | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 09/04/2026 |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5 | Over | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 07/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5 | Under | 39.2¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 07/04/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | Warriors | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $21 | 06/04/2026 |
| Nagoya Grampus vs. Cerezo Ōsaka: O/U 2.5 | Over | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $28 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spread: Heat (-18.5) | Heat | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spread: Spurs (-2.5) | Spurs | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $39 | 04/04/2026 |
| Alicante: Edas Butvilas vs Jesper de Jong | Edas Butvilas | 25.0¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $23 | 01/04/2026 |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by March 31? | No | 31.0¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $42 | 31/03/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | No | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $76 | 31/03/2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $79 | 31/03/2026 |
| North Korea missile test/launch by March 31? | No | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $20 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $360 end of March? | No | 24.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026? | No | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | $92 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | $117 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March? | No | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $-266 | $266 | 31/03/2026 |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 25? | Down | 9.4¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 25/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: CSDIILIT vs MANA eSports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group C | MANA eSports | 83.0¢ | 0¢ | $-75 | $75 | 25/03/2026 |
| Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on March 24? | Up | 2.5¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 24/03/2026 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 17-23? | No | 6.2¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23? | No | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $-308 | $308 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Khamenei tweet again on March 18, 2026? | No | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 23/03/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Bulls | Bulls | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Japanese PM? | No | 51.2¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | $93 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19? | No | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $22 | 19/03/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - First Stand Group B | Gen.G | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-19? | No | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will Trump say "NATO" or "Friend" or "Ally" 7+ times during events with Japanese PM? | No | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-81 | $81 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Oman again in March? | No | 30.7¢ | 100¢ | +$257 | $114 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE again in March? | Yes | 60.8¢ | 100¢ | $-37 | $98 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike UAE again in March? | No | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-466 | $466 | 07/03/2026 |