odb1

Elections 67% +$3 $125 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	37¢	41¢	+$3	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	79¢	85¢	$-3	loss

Economy 67% +$1 $196 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	94¢	98¢	+$0	win
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	95¢	98¢	+$1	win
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	93¢	92¢	$-1	loss

Esports 73% $-6 $300 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner	Nongshim Esports Academy	83¢	100¢	+$6	win
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner	Team Nemesis	50¢	100¢	+$30	win
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage	TheMongolz	88¢	100¢	+$3	win
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha	FunPlus Phoenix	57¢	100¢	+$1	win
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha	Bilibili Gaming	35¢	0¢	$-17	loss
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner	Nongshim Esports Academy	52¢	0¢	$-23	loss
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	86¢	100¢	+$4	win
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	T1 Academy	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
LoL: 7REX vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season	7REX	65¢	100¢	+$15	win
Counter-Strike: Unsettled Resentment vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffs	Unsettled Resentment	65¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Tech 0% $-8 $20 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?	No	52¢	100¢	$-8	loss

Weather 85% $-18 $417 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on April 13?	No	95¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on April 10?	Yes	94¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 10?	No	96¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 9?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 8?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 8?	No	91¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on April 7?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 7?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 6?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 6?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$3	win

Geopolitics 73% $-20 $731 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	90¢	90¢	$-0	loss
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$4	win
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$1	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	Yes	66¢	80¢	+$5	win
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?	No	92¢	93¢	+$0	win
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	Yes	80¢	82¢	+$1	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	No	92¢	97¢	+$0	—
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	No	90¢	0¢	$-22	loss
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5	Over	83¢	0¢	$-25	loss

Sports 89% $-23 $570 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Warriors vs. Clippers	Clippers	66¢	0¢	$-75	loss
Heat vs. Hornets	Hornets	78¢	100¢	+$13	win
Kings vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bucks vs. 76ers	76ers	91¢	100¢	+$6	win
Mavericks vs. Spurs	Spurs	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Heat vs. Wizards	Heat	93¢	100¢	+$2	win
Thunder vs. Clippers	Thunder	70¢	100¢	+$13	win
Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	92¢	100¢	+$6	win
Wizards vs. Heat	Heat	93¢	100¢	+$3	win

Other 76% $-25 $1,254 vol · 37 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	63¢	64¢	+$0	win
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	91¢	91¢	+$0	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?	No	50¢	0¢	$-4	loss
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Over	80¢	100¢	+$9	win
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winner	Gen.G Global Academy	62¢	100¢	+$18	win
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5	Over	81¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	78¢	99¢	+$24	win
NEC vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5	Over	87¢	100¢	+$8	win
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5	Over	81¢	100¢	+$6	win

Politics 45% $-39 $564 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	82¢	84¢	+$1	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	95¢	88¢	$-1	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	92¢	98¢	$-19	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?	No	90¢	94¢	+$3	win
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?	No	92¢	93¢	+$0	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	94¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	81¢	88¢	$-3	loss