Win rate
54.0%
68 W / 58 L
Total PnL
$176
realized $-3,011 · unrealized $3,187
Portfolio
$3,187
volume $35,578
Predictions
256
0.9/day · avg $139
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 19/04/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 67% +$1,011
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | No | 58¢ | 90¢ | +$43 | win |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 50¢ | 68¢ | +$80 | win |
| Will 01.xyz reach $5B in total volume by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-318 | loss |
| Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers | Vanderbilt Commodores | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | loss |
| TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes | Ohio State Buckeyes | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$177 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1? | No | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1? | Yes | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Oregon vs. Indiana | Indiana | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$146 | win |
| Miami vs. Ole Miss | Ole Miss | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | loss |
Elections 100% +$329
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$316 | win |
Sports 53% +$275
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Patriots | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Patriots | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | win |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Seahawks | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Patriots | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | win |
| Rams vs. Bears | Rams | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | 49ers | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Bills vs. Broncos | Broncos | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$107 | win |
| Texans vs. Steelers | Steelers | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Chargers vs. Patriots | Patriots | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
Economy 67% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Culture 33% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
Politics 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Mentions 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025? | No | 58¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Geopolitics 50% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 36¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | No | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | loss |
| Israel strikes Iranian oil in June? | No | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
Weather 0% $-49
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | Kansas Jayhawks | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | loss |
Crypto 29% $-421
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Backpack launch a token by March 31? | No | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-201 | loss |
| Will Paradex launch a token on March 5? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | +$49 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2700 in July? | No | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-91 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115K in July? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-151 | loss |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | No | 68¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
Esports 18% $-914
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 | M80 | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Rocket League: Gentle Mates Alpine vs Team Falcons (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs | Team Falcons | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | loss |
| Rocket League: Vitality vs NRG Esports (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs | NRG Esports | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-136 | loss |
| Rocket League: Shopify Rebellion vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs | Shopify Rebellion | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Rocket League: NRG Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs | Karmine Corp | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | loss |
| Rocket League: Twisted Minds vs Spacestation Gaming (BO5) - RLCS Major Boston Group C | Spacestation Gaming | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Rocket League: FURIA Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - RLCS Major Boston Group B | FURIA Esports | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | loss |
| Rocket League: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs | Team Falcons | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-165 | loss |
| Rocket League: NRG Esports vs Gentle Mates Alpine (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs | NRG Esports | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-244 | loss |
| Rocket League: Karmine Corp vs Twisted Minds (BO5) - RLCS Major Boston Group C | Twisted Minds | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 83.3¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $30 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Paradex launch a token on March 5? | No | 10.1¢ | 0¢ | +$49 | $23 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will 01.xyz reach $5B in total volume by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-318 | $362 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | No | 54.4¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | $134 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? | No | 55.2¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $78 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2? | No | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? | No | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $185 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $196 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | No | 16.3¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $68 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | No | 27.4¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $103 | 31/03/2026 |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | Kansas Jayhawks | 39.9¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 22/03/2026 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers | Vanderbilt Commodores | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 21/03/2026 |
| TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes | Ohio State Buckeyes | 59.6¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $33 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $24 | 15/03/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 | M80 | 46.2¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $40 | 02/03/2026 |
| Rocket League: Gentle Mates Alpine vs Team Falcons (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs | Team Falcons | 56.2¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | $67 | 23/02/2026 |
| Rocket League: Vitality vs NRG Esports (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs | NRG Esports | 37.3¢ | 0¢ | $-136 | $136 | 23/02/2026 |
| Rocket League: Shopify Rebellion vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs | Shopify Rebellion | 51.7¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $31 | 22/02/2026 |
| Rocket League: NRG Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs | Karmine Corp | 56.2¢ | 0¢ | $-117 | $117 | 22/02/2026 |
| Rocket League: Twisted Minds vs Spacestation Gaming (BO5) - RLCS Major Boston Group C | Spacestation Gaming | 35.8¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 21/02/2026 |
| Rocket League: FURIA Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO5) - RLCS Major Boston Group B | FURIA Esports | 72.5¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 21/02/2026 |
| Rocket League: Team Falcons vs Vitality (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs | Team Falcons | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-165 | $165 | 21/02/2026 |
| Rocket League: NRG Esports vs Gentle Mates Alpine (BO7) - RLCS Major Boston Playoffs | NRG Esports | 64.4¢ | 0¢ | $-244 | $244 | 21/02/2026 |
| Rocket League: Karmine Corp vs Twisted Minds (BO5) - RLCS Major Boston Group C | Twisted Minds | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 20/02/2026 |
| Rocket League: Twisted Minds vs Vitality (BO5) - RLCS Major Boston Group C | Twisted Minds | 51.6¢ | 0¢ | $-123 | $123 | 20/02/2026 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Patriots | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 08/02/2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$177 | $155 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1? | No | 42.4¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $21 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 70 million views on week 1? | Yes | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $24 | 31/01/2026 |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | Patriots | 65.5¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | $232 | 25/01/2026 |
| Rams vs. Seahawks | Seahawks | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $45 | 25/01/2026 |
| Texans vs. Patriots | Patriots | 61.9¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | $174 | 18/01/2026 |
| Rams vs. Bears | Rams | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $55 | 18/01/2026 |
| 49ers vs. Seahawks | 49ers | 23.2¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 18/01/2026 |
| Bills vs. Broncos | Broncos | 53.2¢ | 100¢ | +$107 | $122 | 17/01/2026 |
| Texans vs. Steelers | Steelers | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 13/01/2026 |
| Chargers vs. Patriots | Patriots | 58.4¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $79 | 12/01/2026 |
| Packers vs. Bears | Bears | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$119 | $101 | 11/01/2026 |
| 49ers vs. Eagles | 49ers | 32.0¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $45 | 11/01/2026 |
| Bills vs. Jaguars | Jaguars | 52.3¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | $125 | 11/01/2026 |
| Oregon vs. Indiana | Indiana | 61.5¢ | 100¢ | +$146 | $234 | 10/01/2026 |
| Miami vs. Ole Miss | Ole Miss | 39.1¢ | 0¢ | $-107 | $107 | 09/01/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win the NFC South? | Yes | 36.1¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $45 | 06/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch? | Yes | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $39 | 01/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | 63.1¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $191 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1? | Yes | 78.7¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $118 | 31/12/2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 61.6¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $52 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | No | 47.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $44 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | No | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $27 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by January 31? | Yes | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/12/2025 |