Win rate
56.5%
91 W / 70 L
Total PnL
$1,044
realized $-4,740 · unrealized $5,784
Portfolio
$5,784
volume $153,375
Predictions
284
5.3/day · avg $540
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 19/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 60% +$1,611
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maduro guilty of all counts? | No | 70¢ | 78¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-109 | loss |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 57¢ | 46¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 66¢ | 82¢ | +$3 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 66¢ | 60¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $-205 | loss |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 44¢ | 2¢ | $-455 | loss |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season? | Yes | 89¢ | 90¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 71% +$561
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 9¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$408 | win |
Geopolitics 62% +$371
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 33¢ | 36¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 83¢ | 92¢ | +$5 | win |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 80¢ | 80¢ | +$107 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 72¢ | 92¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$90 | win |
| VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5 | Over | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 100¢ | +$210 | win |
Elections 40% +$51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 29¢ | 19¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 78¢ | 84¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$125 | win |
Finance 25% $-78
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Discord IPO before 2027? | Yes | 78¢ | 59¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30? | No | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit (LOW) $620 in April? | Yes | 64¢ | 2¢ | $-32 | loss |
Economy 0% $-100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 32¢ | 26¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 70¢ | 8¢ | $-80 | loss |
Crypto 53% $-325
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? | Yes | 28¢ | 18¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | $-410 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | Up | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | Down | 11¢ | 0¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 13? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | Up | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
Politics 42% $-869
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-389 | loss |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 60¢ | 84¢ | +$70 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 19¢ | 8¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | 74¢ | 87¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | 62¢ | 92¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | Yes | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31? | No | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-572 | loss |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$147 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5 | Over | 66.5¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $67 | 07/04/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 68.4¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $69 | 07/04/2026 |
| Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 07/04/2026 |
| Inter Miami CF vs. Austin FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $25 | 04/04/2026 |
| RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5 | Over | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $23 | 04/04/2026 |
| SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5 | Over | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $29 | 04/04/2026 |
| VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5 | Over | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | Yes | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $2,467 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $86 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March? | Yes | 5.2¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $67 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | $-44 | $130 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | $-410 | $851 | 01/04/2026 |
| England vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Under | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $20 | 31/03/2026 |
| Czechia vs. Denmark: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| United States vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 31/03/2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | Yes | 31.6¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $75 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $156 | 30/03/2026 |
| Colombia vs. France: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $23 | 29/03/2026 |
| United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $21 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will England win on 2026-03-27? | Yes | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 27/03/2026 |
| Italy vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Score | No | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $24 | 26/03/2026 |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 | Under | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $50 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $22 | 22/03/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $25 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | Up | 66.7¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | $136 | 17/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17? | Down | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | +$18 | $99 | 17/03/2026 |
| Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $23 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $222 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-14? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 14/03/2026 |
| Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 13? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $85 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | +$124 | $51 | 11/03/2026 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 11/03/2026 |
| Atalanta BC vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $26 | 10/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 10? | Up | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $113 | 10/03/2026 |
| Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? | Yes | 42.9¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $43 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8? | No | 89.2¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $190 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 9? | Yes | 90.1¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $45 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $29 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 9? | No | 84.1¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $101 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 43.9¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7? | Down | 86.8¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $147 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-07? | Yes | 59.9¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $21 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04? | Yes | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $25 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | $58 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-01? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $56 | 02/03/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5 | Under | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $24 | 02/03/2026 |