Win rate
73.8%
59 W / 21 L
Total PnL
$995
realized $336 · unrealized $659
Portfolio
$659
volume $938,996
Predictions
280
4.9/day · avg $3,354
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 21/07/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 92% +$747
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 61¢ | 94¢ | +$84 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 36¢ | 6¢ | +$45 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 18¢ | +$160 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | +$159 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
Mentions 62% +$213
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 28¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 60¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
Politics 100% +$186
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | 12¢ | 1¢ | +$39 | win |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$73 | win |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$73 | win |
Other 100% +$38
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 17¢ | 24¢ | +$1 | win |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | 10¢ | 6¢ | +$37 | win |
Sports 100% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 15¢ | +$3 | win |
Crypto 69% $-65
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14? | Down | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-247 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 27? | Up | 49¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 22? | Up | 9¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5? | Up | 46¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | Up | 40¢ | 0¢ | +$38 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | Down | 9¢ | 0¢ | +$30 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25? | Down | 15¢ | 0¢ | +$42 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 24? | Up | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-459 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 23? | Down | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $35 | 17/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 15.5¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $186 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 14? | Down | 34.7¢ | 0¢ | $-247 | $896 | 14/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 13? | Down | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $22 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | +$24 | $77 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | Yes | 16.6¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $58 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 18.2¢ | 0¢ | +$104 | $55 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 16.4¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $82 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 100¢ | $-22 | $741 | 03/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 24.1¢ | 0¢ | +$159 | $3,835 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | Yes | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | +$73 | $88 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 61.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $5,092 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1? | Yes | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $39 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $289 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $28 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 30.1¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | $60 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 14.8¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | $133 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 19.8¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | $159 | 27/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 27? | Up | 48.9¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $236 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 10.4¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $146 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 8.8¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $102 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Yes | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $20 | 24/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 22? | Up | 9.2¢ | 0¢ | +$8 | $120 | 22/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5? | Up | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $23 | 05/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3? | Up | 40.2¢ | 0¢ | +$38 | $1,257 | 03/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | +$296 | $388 | 01/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 1? | Down | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | +$30 | $464 | 01/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 25? | Down | 14.6¢ | 0¢ | +$42 | $545 | 25/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 24? | Up | 12.9¢ | 0¢ | $-459 | $1,943 | 24/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 23? | Down | 48.9¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $244 | 23/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 23? | Up | 28.9¢ | 0¢ | $-155 | $1,301 | 23/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22? | Up | 39.5¢ | 0¢ | +$40 | $2,029 | 22/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 22? | Down | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $1,402 | 22/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 21? | Up | 48.5¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | $3,631 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 21? | Down | 37.8¢ | 0¢ | +$95 | $4,736 | 21/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | Up | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 20/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 20? | Down | 20.6¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $2,518 | 20/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | Up | 37.2¢ | 0¢ | +$66 | $1,928 | 19/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 19? | Down | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $286 | 19/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 18? | Down | 48.4¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $3,027 | 18/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 18? | Up | 46.5¢ | 0¢ | +$28 | $1,098 | 18/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 17? | Down | 31.7¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $2,982 | 17/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 17? | Up | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | $296 | 17/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | Up | 31.8¢ | 0¢ | +$86 | $3,843 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? | Down | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $183 | 16/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 15? | Down | 48.8¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $3,008 | 15/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 15? | Up | 42.8¢ | 0¢ | +$33 | $1,898 | 15/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 14? | Down | 40.4¢ | 0¢ | +$109 | $4,688 | 14/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 14? | Up | 47.1¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $977 | 14/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on February 13? | Up | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $1,032 | 13/02/2026 |