imstillrich

Crypto 80% +$341 $4,472 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?	Yes	15¢	0¢	+$33	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 2?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 15?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$39	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 15?	No	42¢	0¢	$-105	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 14?	No	92¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 13?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?	No	87¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 21?	Yes	70¢	100¢	$-16	loss
Will the price of XRP be between $2.40 and $2.50 on October 16?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-102	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 21 at 5PM ET?	No	89¢	100¢	+$18	win

Geopolitics 60% +$253 $18,887 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	15¢	28¢	$-292	loss
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$201	win
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$9	win
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?	No	82¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 24?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by December 5?	Yes	81¢	100¢	$-13	loss
Russia strike on Kyiv by November 30, 2025?	Yes	56¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?	No	92¢	100¢	+$14	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	44¢	100¢	$-149	loss

Tech 62% +$36 $1,687 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$58	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
OpenAI browser by October 31?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$77	win
OpenAI browser by October 31?	No	46¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24?	Yes	55¢	0¢	$-97	loss
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$72	win
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	No	3¢	0¢	$-75	loss

Elections 57% +$20 $6,431 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	65¢	66¢	+$8	win
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?	Yes	84¢	90¢	+$4	win
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	83¢	81¢	$-17	loss
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	94¢	100¢	$-108	loss
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	89¢	100¢	+$64	win
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$21	win

Finance 50% +$15 $359 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will BW Industrial Holdings not IPO before June 2026?	No	79¢	76¢	$-3	loss
Will Madison Air’s market cap be greater than $13.5B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Groupon (GRPN) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	65¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$24	win

Weather 50% $-2 $187 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 82°F or higher on March 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Miami Hurricanes vs. Florida Gators	Florida Gators	84¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Esports 33% $-105 $305 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 225.5	Over	51¢	100¢	+$20	win
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	PARIVISION	37¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs largadosypelados (BO3) - CCT South America Series #9 Playoffs	largadosypelados	62¢	0¢	$-61	loss
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage	Metizport	87¢	100¢	+$14	win
Valorant: MYVRA GC vs Contra GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America North Group Stage	Contra GC	98¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs QoR (BO5) - VCL North America Playoffs	Shopify Rebellion Black	75¢	0¢	$-56	loss

Other 66% $-138 $17,704 vol · 50 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	49¢	4¢	$-0	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	64¢	97¢	+$30	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	77¢	70¢	+$8	win
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?	Up	39¢	100¢	$-4	loss
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 13?	Down	62¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	No	78¢	100¢	+$6	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$12	win
Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?	No	97¢	100¢	$-69	loss
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-3.5)	Iowa State Cyclones	52¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Sports 60% $-271 $10,273 vol · 126 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)	JJ Aldrich	39¢	38¢	$-0	loss
UFC Fight Night: John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Mark Vologdin	42¢	42¢	$-0	loss
UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Tanner Boser	42¢	42¢	$-0	loss
UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Kyler Phillips	46¢	46¢	$-0	loss
UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Melissa Croden (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Daria Zhelezniakova	47¢	46¢	$-0	loss
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves	Cleveland Guardians	49¢	100¢	+$22	win
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	46¢	100¢	+$25	win
Athletics vs. New York Yankees	Athletics	70¢	100¢	+$9	win
Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins	Cincinnati Reds	47¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets	Arizona Diamondbacks	45¢	100¢	+$51	win

Politics 55% $-357 $2,812 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	75¢	60¢	+$13	win
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on April 16?	Yes	45¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?	No	86¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by December 31?	No	84¢	100¢	$-21	loss
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?	No	75¢	100¢	+$27	win
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 18?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 14?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$25	win
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 9?	No	87¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa hug on Monday?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Donald Trump say "Hezbollah" during Syria President events on November 10?	Yes	74¢	0¢	$-100	loss