alexkrg

Other 84% +$1,782 $9,375 vol · 212 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	2¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?	Yes	2¢	4¢	+$2	win
Brevis FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	0¢	0¢	+$21	win
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	0¢	0¢	+$15	win
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	12¢	5¢	+$7	win
Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$2	win
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$1	win
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	10¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Lighter FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-3	loss

Sports 95% +$752 $2,518 vol · 56 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?	Yes	1¢	2¢	+$8	win
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$27	win
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?	Yes	14¢	10¢	$-5	loss
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$5	win
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	7¢	1¢	+$6	win
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$12	win
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will the Dallas Stars win the Central Division?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$40	win

Geopolitics 92% +$698 $3,106 vol · 75 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$11	win
Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	Yes	4¢	1¢	+$3	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	8¢	1¢	+$5	win
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?	Yes	21¢	11¢	$-2	loss
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?	No	6¢	0¢	+$7	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	31¢	100¢	+$4	win
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?	Yes	33¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$51	win
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 12, 2026?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$5	win

Politics 96% +$400 $1,893 vol · 28 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will Scott Bessent be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Bill Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	No	6¢	0¢	+$10	win
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	Yes	25¢	10¢	+$0	win
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	Yes	1¢	1¢	+$10	win
Will Jeannie Evans be the Republican nominee for Senate in Illinois?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$27	win
Will Laura Fine be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$8	win
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" in February?	No	20¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in January?	No	4¢	0¢	+$29	win

Elections 78% +$332 $2,102 vol · 50 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	10¢	1¢	$-0	loss
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	5¢	17¢	+$4	win
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-1	loss
2026 Balance of Power: Other	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-2	loss
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	1¢	1¢	+$10	win
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	3¢	2¢	+$5	win
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-6	loss

Culture 79% +$101 $773 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	3¢	1¢	+$2	win
Will "Sinners" win exactly 9 awards at the Oscars?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$22	win
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Jesse Plemons win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$9	win
Will Little Amelie or the Character of Rain win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will The Voice of Hind Rajab win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Ariana Grande win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-7	loss

Tech 88% +$99 $648 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	16¢	6¢	+$0	win
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	2¢	5¢	+$11	win
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	3¢	4¢	+$8	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	10¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	No	17¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$12	win
Will Google have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will GPT win the okbet trading competition?	Yes	28¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$5	win

Crypto 84% +$84 $872 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trove launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	0¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	17¢	31¢	+$3	win
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	1¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	4¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	No	3¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Will Tria launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	0¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$17	win
Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	7¢	5¢	+$10	win
Will Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	1¢	0¢	+$0	win

Finance 91% +$80 $500 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	6¢	18¢	+$22	win
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	17¢	28¢	$-1	loss
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$11	win
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?	Yes	31¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in March 2026?	Yes	23¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?	No	2¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will EA say "Mobile" during earnings call?	Yes	6¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	7¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will WD-40 Company (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?	No	6¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	0¢	1¢	+$19	win

Economy 67% +$56 $206 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-1	loss
US recession in 2025?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$35	win
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be over 5.0%?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$7	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-1	loss

Weather 100% +$35 $376 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$11	win
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?	Yes	25¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$4	win
Will 1550 to 1599 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?	Yes	8¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?	No	20¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?	Yes	41¢	100¢	+$4	win

Mentions 71% +$11 $382 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-0	loss

Esports 50% +$9 $105 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?	Yes	6¢	11¢	+$14	win
Will FUT Esports win IEM Krakow 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-5	loss