0xbt

Geopolitics 44% +$3,251 $16,550 vol · 133 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	31¢	0¢	+$25	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	21¢	0¢	+$31	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	33¢	34¢	+$8	win
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-36	loss
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Leadership Change	41¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	37¢	20¢	$-12	loss
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	28¢	13¢	$-26	loss
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	3¢	0¢	+$199	win
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$114	win
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	31¢	68¢	+$7	win

Mentions 100% +$52 $25 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei tweet every day through March 20?	No	25¢	100¢	+$52	win

Elections 50% +$11 $117 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	18¢	38¢	$-0	loss
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?	Yes	53¢	0¢	+$11	win

Culture 67% $-14 $163 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	27¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?	No	73¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?	Yes	17¢	0¢	+$6	win

Crypto 32% $-52 $1,661 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Solana reach $120 in February?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	36¢	100¢	+$42	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	51¢	100¢	+$23	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	51¢	100¢	+$17	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	28¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	21¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	21¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	53¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	45¢	0¢	$-60	loss

Politics 39% $-54 $5,415 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	13¢	8¢	+$5	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	30¢	0¢	+$3	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	5¢	0¢	+$0	—
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	29¢	34¢	$-4	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	41¢	64¢	$-91	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	Yes	22¢	14¢	$-51	loss
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?	Yes	23¢	0¢	+$71	win
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-26	loss

Finance 0% $-78 $62 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-78	loss

Sports 27% $-157 $468 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	55¢	40¢	$-12	loss
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	No	9¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	No	34¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$8	win
Oilers vs. Canadiens	Oilers	57¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Packers vs. Broncos	Broncos	32¢	100¢	+$68	win
76ers vs. Hawks: O/U 226.5	Over	49¢	100¢	+$51	win

Tech 31% $-178 $642 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
GPT ads by March 31?	Yes	32¢	100¢	$-13	loss
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 31?	No	14¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-65	loss
GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-89	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	No	37¢	0¢	$-37	loss
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-44	loss
GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Jensen Huang say "Elon" or "Musk" during NVIDIA keynote?	Yes	37¢	100¢	+$74	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?	Yes	26¢	0¢	+$1	win

Esports 38% $-745 $19,990 vol · 268 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Leviatán Esports (+1.5)	Leviatán Esports	59¢	100¢	+$20	win
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega	FURIA Esports	71¢	100¢	+$102	win
Map Handicap: EG (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5)	Evil Geniuses	29¢	0¢	$-84	loss
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Team Falcons	20¢	0¢	$-130	loss
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	MOUZ	41¢	0¢	$-90	loss
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	37¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	Team Vitality	49¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	FURIA	8¢	100¢	+$323	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	38¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	Natus Vincere	9¢	0¢	+$102	win

Other 33% $-2,588 $16,530 vol · 206 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?	No	29¢	40¢	+$19	win
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	39¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	Yes	23¢	23¢	$-2	loss
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	18¢	14¢	$-10	loss
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	35¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	29¢	16¢	$-35	loss
Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	19¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	63¢	0¢	$-40	loss