Win rate
70.8%
126 W / 52 L
Total PnL
$-409
realized $-2,621 · unrealized $2,212
Portfolio
$2,212
volume $58,978
Predictions
880
18.0/day · avg $67
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 100% +$47
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes 3 different countries by September 30? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Another Israel strike on Yemen by Friday? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Other 100% +$16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Crypto 100% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 17? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin all time high by January 31? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Sports 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Tech 50% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $340 on April 8? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| OpenAI browser in July? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Weather 69% $-234
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on April 19? | No | 69¢ | 62¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 19? | No | 72¢ | 72¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 19? | No | 80¢ | 80¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 19? | No | 70¢ | 72¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 19? | No | 68¢ | 75¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 18? | No | 68¢ | 69¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 18? | No | 76¢ | 80¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 18? | No | 56¢ | 58¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 18? | No | 60¢ | 76¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 18? | No | 62¢ | 57¢ | $-4 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on April 17? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C or higher on April 17? | No | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $150 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or higher on April 17? | No | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-141 | $149 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17? | No | 57.4¢ | 0¢ | $-196 | $199 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on April 17? | No | 70.0¢ | 60¢ | $-34 | $225 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 17? | No | 53.5¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $97 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on April 17? | No | 55.9¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 17? | No | 55.6¢ | 1¢ | $-98 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 17? | No | 61.8¢ | 60¢ | $-2 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 17? | No | 67.8¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $98 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 17? | No | 61.5¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on April 17? | No | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-78 | $79 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on April 17? | No | 65.8¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 17? | No | 70.0¢ | 98¢ | +$30 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 17? | No | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on April 17? | No | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on April 17? | No | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $48 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on April 17? | No | 66.0¢ | 1¢ | $-50 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 17? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on April 17? | No | 60.0¢ | 88¢ | +$20 | $43 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on April 17? | No | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on April 17? | No | 53.2¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $88 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 17? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 17? | No | 62.0¢ | 2¢ | $-45 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on April 16? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $150 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on April 16? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $150 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on April 16? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $150 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on April 16? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $150 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on April 16? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $150 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on April 16? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $149 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 16? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $121 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 16? | No | 65.4¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $76 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on April 16? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $70 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on April 16? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on April 16? | No | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 16? | No | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | +$11 | $149 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 16? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $22 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 16? | No | 64.3¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 16? | No | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $112 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 16? | No | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on April 16? | No | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on April 16? | No | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-225 | $225 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 15? | No | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$126 | $223 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on April 15? | No | 79.5¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $105 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 15? | No | 77.1¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $66 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on April 15? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $83 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on April 15? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on April 15? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 35°C on April 15? | No | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 15? | No | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | $-77 | $150 | 15/04/2026 |