Win rate
92.4%
437 W / 36 L
Total PnL
$24,516
realized $-17,954 · unrealized $42,470
Portfolio
$42,470
volume $7,264,511
Predictions
547
6.6/day · avg $13,281
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 18/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 95% +$15,046
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | No | 95¢ | 98¢ | +$255 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 19? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$211 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 11? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
Finance 100% +$8,820
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
Other 76% +$2,784
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 73¢ | 67¢ | +$47 | win |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 70¢ | 80¢ | +$75 | win |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 74¢ | 82¢ | +$133 | win |
| Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-332 | loss |
| Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$261 | win |
| Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | win |
| Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$1,894 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 90% +$594
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Sports 50% +$314
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-79 | loss |
| Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$456 | win |
| Hornets vs. Lakers | Lakers | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | loss |
Elections 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 33% $-50
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 61¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 38¢ | 39¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 80¢ | 92¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-53 | loss |
Mentions 83% $-539
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$1,214 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-91 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-3,226 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 19? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | $11,828 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 19? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $554 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $13,019 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $617 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $7,142 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $9,274 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on April 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $7,396 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,214 | $5,928 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 15? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $5,994 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $137 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 88.1¢ | 0¢ | $-91 | $1,762 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 69.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1,894 | $9,796 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 13? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$211 | $21,106 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $980 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $1,768 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3,226 | $4,950 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 11? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | $8,003 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 11? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $16,914 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $1,297 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $438 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on April 9? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | $39,920 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | $35,218 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 8? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $13,827 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on April 6? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $19,064 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on April 6? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $17,076 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on April 6? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $7,335 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $7,340 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $29,970 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $12,852 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $17,058 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $9,722 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $5,908 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 5? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $3,312 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 5? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $35,152 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 4? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $22,837 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 4? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $18,220 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 4? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $19,009 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 4? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $14,024 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $495 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $151 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$810 | $17,436 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$790 | $38,312 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$312 | $24,044 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 2? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $8,395 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $6,986 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on April 1? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$813 | $36,235 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on April 1? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | $9,910 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1,019 | $39,171 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 1? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $119 | 01/04/2026 |