Grodan

Sports 61% +$542 $2,494 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	54¢	0¢	+$21	win
Will Albania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	86¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	No	22¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	20¢	100¢	+$199	win
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	30¢	100¢	+$167	win
Will Frida Karlsson (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Women's Cross Country Interval Start Free at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	31¢	100¢	+$67	win
Will Jonna Sundling (SWE) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: XC - Women's Cross Country Sprint Classic at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-39	loss
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	7¢	0¢	+$9	win
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will Luca Harrington (NZL) win the gold medal for Ski Big Air - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-28	loss

Other 58% +$162 $3,280 vol · 31 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	4¢	3¢	+$1	win
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	75¢	62¢	+$1	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	80¢	79¢	$-1	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	65¢	73¢	+$8	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	20¢	28¢	+$31	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	72¢	83¢	+$14	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	67¢	99¢	+$16	win
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?	No	34¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Sweden	Sweden	16¢	0¢	$-57	loss
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakia	Sweden	82¢	100¢	+$29	win

Elections 100% +$117 $1,047 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	86¢	88¢	+$2	win
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	94¢	95¢	+$6	win
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$18	win

Culture 50% $-28 $277 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Americana" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $1.5m?	No	1¢	0¢	$-31	loss

Economy 0% $-135 $334 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	21¢	18¢	$-10	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	14¢	8¢	$-58	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	2¢	1¢	$-66	loss

Politics 52% $-169 $4,053 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	Yes	22¢	8¢	$-5	loss
Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$77	win
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	42¢	100¢	+$76	win
Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 6–10 seconds?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-33	loss
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?	Yes	77¢	0¢	+$13	win
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?	Yes	37¢	0¢	+$6	win
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?	No	86¢	100¢	+$6	win
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?	Yes	4¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-19	loss
Will Trump resign in 2025?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-23	loss

Crypto 0% $-262 $269 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $117K in August?	No	3¢	0¢	$-174	loss

Geopolitics 62% $-303 $10,490 vol · 87 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	84¢	84¢	$-1	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	56¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	21¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	59¢	59¢	+$1	win
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?	No	82¢	82¢	+$0	win
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	No	27¢	74¢	+$37	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	60¢	62¢	+$2	win
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?	No	45¢	48¢	+$3	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	42¢	0¢	$-42	loss