MONTOYOYA

Geopolitics 47% +$110 $1,028 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	9¢	9¢	$-6	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	28¢	16¢	$-21	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	81¢	98¢	+$21	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	14¢	6¢	$-30	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	55¢	64¢	+$23	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	90¢	97¢	+$3	win
Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	91¢	97¢	+$1	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	89¢	56¢	$-14	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	No	31¢	9¢	$-32	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?	Yes	10¢	100¢	+$36	win

Sports 0% $-5 $450 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	85¢	85¢	$-1	loss
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	87¢	86¢	$-2	loss
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	86¢	86¢	$-0	loss
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	29¢	28¢	$-3	loss

Mentions 0% $-29 $29 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	97¢	0¢	$-29	loss

Other 46% $-49 $1,317 vol · 25 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	7¢	7¢	$-2	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	86¢	96¢	+$2	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	41¢	24¢	+$1	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	15¢	38¢	+$6	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	97¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-24?	Yes	72¢	72¢	+$0	win
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23?	Yes	32¢	34¢	+$2	win
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?	Yes	86¢	86¢	$-0	loss
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-04-18?	Yes	24¢	22¢	$-7	loss
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-19?	Yes	18¢	18¢	+$1	win

Politics 12% $-77 $334 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	17¢	16¢	$-2	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	38¢	50¢	$-4	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	2¢	1¢	$-7	loss
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	Yes	6¢	2¢	$-30	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?	No	89¢	74¢	$-3	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?	Yes	1¢	1¢	$-15	loss
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	30¢	12¢	$-17	loss

Crypto 33% $-245 $316 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	0¢	0¢	+$12	win
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	54¢	0¢	$-113	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	No	38¢	0¢	$-145	loss