0xAa7575ba25247c8eb4C23DFeB39b0237fb59a864-1749118418017

Other 90% +$17,930 $394,705 vol · 558 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	86¢	100¢	+$30	win
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	95¢	100¢	+$18	win
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	88¢	92¢	+$8	win
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$175	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$53	win
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	92¢	91¢	$-12	loss

Sports 95% +$6,354 $79,571 vol · 110 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees	Los Angeles Angels	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	97¢	100¢	+$7	win
Sharks vs. Jets	Sharks	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Red Wings vs. Panthers	Panthers	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?	No	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Nets vs. Raptors	Nets	4¢	0¢	$-36	loss

Geopolitics 88% +$4,675 $411,717 vol · 220 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	98¢	100¢	+$55	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	43¢	100¢	+$113	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	57¢	100¢	$-41	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	40¢	76¢	+$536	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	57¢	70¢	+$110	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	70¢	70¢	+$3	win
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28?	No	94¢	100¢	+$70	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	+$15	win
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	81¢	100¢	$-411	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	73¢	94¢	+$881	win

Economy 95% +$3,516 $66,575 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	89¢	92¢	+$24	win
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	95¢	98¢	+$11	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	94¢	99¢	+$142	win
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	88¢	92¢	+$9	win
Will the March 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	No	96¢	100¢	+$12	win
Nothing Ever Happens: Interest Rates	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$33	win
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$181	win
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$758	win
No change in Bank of England's interest rates after February 2026 meeting?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$55	win

Crypto 96% +$1,986 $1,138,840 vol · 1089 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	32¢	0¢	$-1,794	loss
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	86¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?	$3k	28¢	0¢	$-84	loss
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	92¢	89¢	$-3	loss
Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	No	97¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	95¢	97¢	+$2	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 18?	Yes	98¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18?	No	98¢	99¢	+$3	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 17?	No	98¢	100¢	+$43	win

Tech 92% +$1,069 $25,852 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	93¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 30 above $245?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$66	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?	No	94¢	100¢	+$37	win
GPT ads by March 31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$8	win
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	+$100	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	No	95¢	100¢	+$20	win
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	No	96¢	100¢	+$16	win

Culture 89% +$560 $10,054 vol · 27 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	61¢	81¢	+$45	win
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?	No	97¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$19	win
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$59	win
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 200k and 250k?	No	95¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will The Fall-Off by J. Cole be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 21?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$39	win
Will 'Wuthering Heights' debut week album sales be less than 75k?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Octane by Don Toliver be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 14?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$14	win

Mentions 84% $-55 $10,568 vol · 19 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	$-73	loss
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$4	win

Esports 67% $-257 $823 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Stage	Aurora	94¢	100¢	+$7	win
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)	FaZe	94¢	0¢	$-280	loss
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca (BO3)	M80	96¢	100¢	+$16	win

Weather 83% $-630 $3,112 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?	No	97¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?	Yes	79¢	0¢	$-82	loss
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?	No	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?	No	88¢	100¢	+$15	win
Providence Friars vs. St. John's Red Storm	St. Johns Red Storm	96¢	0¢	$-640	loss
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$30	win

Finance 71% $-934 $6,959 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No one announced as next James Bond?	Yes	68¢	66¢	$-3	loss
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by March 31?	No	94¢	100¢	+$38	win
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$81	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 9?	Up	93¢	100¢	+$16	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 6?	Up	97¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will New York Times Company (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-14	loss
Will BNY (BK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	93¢	100¢	$-21	loss
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	96¢	0¢	$-1,158	loss
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?	No	92¢	100¢	+$9	win

Politics 87% $-3,836 $73,896 vol · 85 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$226	win
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	97¢	100¢	+$7	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	77¢	100¢	+$49	win
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?	No	43¢	42¢	$-3	loss
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	85¢	85¢	+$1	win
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?	No	96¢	98¢	+$18	win
Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	85¢	76¢	$-73	loss
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	87¢	88¢	+$0	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	97¢	100¢	+$11	win

Elections 76% $-10,466 $80,385 vol · 45 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	96¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win the most seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?	Yes	99¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?	No	98¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	Yes	81¢	85¢	+$7	win
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	No	97¢	100¢	+$6	win
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 55% by March 31?	No	89¢	0¢	$-89	loss
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?	Yes	92¢	0¢	$-174	loss