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0xAa3A46A1DA050ef359f7A126ab3565312808E29a-1771943647735
0xaa3a46a1da050ef359f7a126ab3565312808e29a · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
47.7%
31 W / 34 L
Total PnL
$-1,388
realized $-1,952 · unrealized $564
Portfolio
$564
volume $48,351
Predictions
171
6.4/day · avg $283
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 24/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 100% +$10
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$10 | win |
Culture 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 48¢ | 52¢ | +$7 | win |
Sports 17% $-63
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 46¢ | 42¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Texas Rangers | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Thunder | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Lakers | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | Thunder | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Crypto 70% $-140
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Down | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | Down | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | Up | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | Down | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Down | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Down | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | Up | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | Up | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | Up | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | Down | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Politics 33% $-148
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 1st? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump say "Scam" or "Hoax" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | No | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Geopolitics 25% $-465
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | loss |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | Yes | 17¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | loss |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | loss |
Other 15% $-528
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 16¢ | 100¢ | +$167 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | Yes | 42¢ | 4¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | loss |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 12, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? | Yes | 28¢ | 22¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15? | No | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-271 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Texas Rangers | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | Yes | 28.3¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $70 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 12, 2026? | Yes | 45.7¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $23 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on April 12, 2026? | Yes | 36.2¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | $22 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be less than 4 on April 12, 2026? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Down | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $50 | 11/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | Down | 77.6¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $60 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | Up | 82.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | Down | 34.7¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | $50 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | Down | 49.1¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $40 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Down | 77.3¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $60 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET | Up | 78.4¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $60 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | Up | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $60 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | Up | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $65 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | Down | 67.7¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $23 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET | Up | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $50 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | Down | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $90 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | Up | 78.7¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $30 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET | Down | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $30 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | Down | 87.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $30 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | Down | 92.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $50 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 94.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $70 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | Up | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $60 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | Down | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | Down | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $70 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | Up | 8.3¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | Up | 93.1¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | Up | 66.2¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | Up | 3.4¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | Up | 73.5¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET | Up | 79.4¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | Up | 75.2¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 06/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | Up | 93.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $120 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | Up | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $70 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | Down | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | Up | 93.5¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 05/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | Down | 96.6¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $110 | 05/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Thunder | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $45 | 03/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Lakers | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 03/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 1st? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $368 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $40 | 31/03/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? | Yes | 28.3¢ | 22¢ | $-6 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026? | No | 66.7¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $200 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026? | No | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $110 | 28/02/2026 |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28? | Yes | 19.4¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 28/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 21.4¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | $240 | 28/02/2026 |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | Thunder | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 26/02/2026 |
| Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony? | Yes | 12.3¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $41 | 26/02/2026 |