aLomorah

Geopolitics 62% +$620 $1,545 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$61	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	43¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	89¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	14¢	9¢	$-24	loss
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	51¢	15¢	$-39	loss
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	44¢	100¢	+$159	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	65¢	97¢	+$64	win
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mackenzie McDonald	Thiago Agustin Tirante	85¢	100¢	+$16	win
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Thiago Agustin Tirante	82¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	No	14¢	0¢	$-25	loss

Other 72% +$503 $17,627 vol · 192 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	67¢	66¢	$-1	loss
Rihanna confirmed pregnant in 2026?	No	33¢	59¢	+$27	win
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	58¢	58¢	+$2	win
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?	No	73¢	86¢	+$14	win
Will Ken Paxton drop out?	No	75¢	90¢	+$6	win
Will Detroit record the first snowfall?	Yes	34¢	100¢	+$49	win
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	18¢	1¢	$-17	loss
Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	60¢	100¢	+$17	win
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Vit Kopriva	Flavio Cobolli	70¢	100¢	+$11	win
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	72¢	100¢	+$10	win

Tech 60% +$214 $1,219 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	62¢	34¢	$-31	loss
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	63¢	22¢	$-90	loss
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	60¢	100¢	+$231	win
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?	No	72¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$155	win
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	No	38¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	64¢	0¢	$-28	loss

Weather 62% +$69 $930 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils	Duke Blue Devils	94¢	100¢	+$3	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils	St. Johns Red Storm	37¢	0¢	$-16	loss
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5	Over	68¢	100¢	+$107	win
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5	Under	85¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on March 17?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 32-33°F on March 16?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$51	win

Finance 100% +$28 $82 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Credit One Charleston Open: Madison Keys vs Anna Bondar	Madison Keys	87¢	100¢	+$7	win
Credit One Charleston Open: Darja Vidmanova vs Anna Bondar	Anna Bondar	62¢	100¢	+$20	win

Esports 64% +$26 $898 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gen.G complete the League of Legends “Golden Road” in 2026?	No	80¢	100¢	+$12	win
LoL: NRG Esports vs Blue Otter (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season	NRG Esports	86¢	68¢	$-9	loss
LoL: Dignitas vs Disguised (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs	Disguised	86¢	100¢	+$11	win
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	RED Canids	94¢	100¢	+$4	win
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	69¢	100¢	+$16	win
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs	FUT Esports	83¢	100¢	+$5	win
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs InControl (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs	InControl	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Counter-Strike: InControl vs FarmVille (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs	InControl	96¢	100¢	+$4	win
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season	Ei Nerd Esports	92¢	100¢	+$3	win
LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Team Phantasma (BO2) - HLL Regular Season	Team Phantasma	85¢	50¢	$-10	loss

Culture 0% $-25 $25 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-25	loss

Politics 52% $-99 $1,797 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	33¢	27¢	$-25	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	11¢	8¢	+$9	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	55¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	46¢	8¢	$-20	loss
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	74¢	60¢	$-30	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	62¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$60	win
Will Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	18¢	0¢	$-120	loss
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-147	loss

Crypto 86% $-217 $9,257 vol · 146 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Terence Atmane vs Ethan Quinn	Ethan Quinn	56¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	84¢	100¢	+$8	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	93¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	94¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Sports 60% $-399 $3,624 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Diego Lopes be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	40¢	39¢	$-1	loss
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	16¢	17¢	+$1	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina	Elina Svitolina	61¢	100¢	+$17	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider	Elena Rybakina	80¢	100¢	+$6	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Liudmila Samsonova vs Coco Gauff	Coco Gauff	82¢	100¢	+$45	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Karolina Muchova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Karolina Muchova	78¢	100¢	+$10	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Zeynep Sonmez vs Jasmine Paolini	Jasmine Paolini	78¢	0¢	$-78	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Antonia Ruzic vs Liudmila Samsonova	Liudmila Samsonova	71¢	100¢	+$11	win
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Paula Badosa	Paula Badosa	95¢	0¢	$-72	loss

Elections 33% $-796 $2,396 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	Yes	63¢	74¢	+$6	win
Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	72¢	70¢	$-1	loss
Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	39¢	49¢	$-37	loss
Will Christian Estrosi win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	Yes	67¢	0¢	$-1,053	loss
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?	No	72¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$460	win