BlackFridayDeals

Tech 92% +$954 $95,802 vol · 171 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA dip to $184 in March?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will NVIDIA reach $280 in March?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
GPT ads by March 31?	Yes	92¢	100¢	$-66	loss
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 19?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 on March 13?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on March 13?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $315 on March 13?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on March 9?	No	50¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on March 9?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$0	—
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on March 9?	Down	49¢	0¢	+$0	—

Weather 93% +$496 $15,879 vol · 83 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 24?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on March 24?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C or higher on March 23?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers	Miami Hurricanes	2¢	0¢	+$478	win
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C or higher on March 22?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers	Purdue Boilermakers	98¢	100¢	$-478	loss
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 7?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 7?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or higher on March 1?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 1?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 84% +$188 $53,602 vol · 94 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	91¢	91¢	+$-0	—
Will Netflix dip to $0 in April?	No	99¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 13 – Apr 17?	No	99¢	98¢	$-1	loss
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of April 13 2026?	No	99¢	98¢	$-0	loss
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.0% in March?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% or less in March?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Geopolitics 75% +$33 $2,473 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$34	win
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	Yes	76¢	100¢	$-2	loss
1. FC Köln vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5	Over	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-2.5)	1. FC Köln	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Politics 67% +$12 $489 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?	No	86¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will the House vote on a government funding bill today?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Economy 100% +$3 $197 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$3	win

Crypto 50% $-179 $8,006 vol · 104 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 23?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	50¢	100¢	+$13	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	50¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	98¢	100¢	$-48	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 13, 3AM ET	Up	98¢	100¢	$-48	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 6AM ET	Down	59¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Airbnb dip to $110 in November?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 5AM ET	Down	50¢	100¢	+$50	win

Other 85% $-448 $225,198 vol · 316 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	90¢	62¢	$-17	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	13¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Valencia finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	No	96¢	100¢	$-339	loss
Will Valencia finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$363	win
Will Getafe be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?	No	99¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Dodin vs. Deichmann: Match O/U 21.5	Over	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 17?	Down	88¢	87¢	$-2	loss

Finance 71% $-3,182 $42,667 vol · 50 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 1.0% before 2027?	No	92¢	96¢	+$3	win
Will Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) hit (LOW) $590 Week of April 13 2026?	No	100¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit 4750 (LOW) in March?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.8% by March 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?	Down	35¢	0¢	+$0	—
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 20?	Up	10¢	0¢	$-2	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 20?	Down	86¢	100¢	$-8	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 13?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$15	win