BTCGOOSE

Geopolitics 67% +$59,472 $1,287,475 vol · 82 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	10¢	0¢	$-385	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	67¢	78¢	+$377	win
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	64¢	30¢	$-1,413	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	50¢	22¢	$-32	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	39¢	16¢	$-480	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	80¢	84¢	+$171	win
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$179	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	91¢	94¢	+$511	win
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	51¢	100¢	$-118	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	43¢	74¢	+$1,954	win

Politics 66% +$9,914 $503,208 vol · 74 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	37¢	39¢	+$2	win
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	63¢	61¢	+$24	win
Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$172	win
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	97¢	100¢	+$143	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	73¢	0¢	$-41	loss
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	50¢	48¢	$-30	loss
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	93¢	96¢	+$207	win
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	85¢	40¢	$-1,050	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	54¢	62¢	$-1,114	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	73¢	38¢	$-116	loss

Sports 88% +$7,995 $61,242 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	17¢	0¢	+$15	win
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?	No	76¢	100¢	+$168	win
Will the announcers say "BMF" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$188	win
Will the announcers say "Strategy" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?	Yes	77¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Clippers vs. Rockets	Rockets	98¢	100¢	+$48	win
Trail Blazers vs. Raptors	Raptors	93¢	100¢	+$162	win
Broncos vs. Commanders	Broncos	72¢	100¢	+$576	win
Patriots vs. Bengals	Patriots	63¢	100¢	+$1,132	win
Seahawks vs. Titans	Seahawks	87¢	100¢	+$302	win

Economy 100% +$4,767 $52,523 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	95¢	99¢	+$51	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs	Tennessee Volunteers	94¢	100¢	+$132	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	65¢	0¢	+$0	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	8¢	0¢	+$0	—
Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State	Ole Miss	75¢	100¢	+$1,300	win
Georgia vs. Mississippi State	Georgia	77¢	100¢	+$2,040	win
Tennessee vs. Mississippi State	Tennessee	73¢	100¢	+$746	win

Tech 60% +$1,516 $21,862 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?	Yes	65¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	No	74¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on February 17?	No	99¢	100¢	+$10	win
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on February 17?	Down	91¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 on February 17?	No	64¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$966	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	15¢	0¢	$-145	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$408	win
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$333	win

Mentions 100% +$92 $3,000 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$92	win

Finance 36% $-4,511 $17,488 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	75¢	69¢	$-60	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 2?	Down	85¢	0¢	$-1,839	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 4?	Down	44¢	0¢	$-252	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?	Down	63¢	0¢	$-435	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 26?	Up	51¢	0¢	$-321	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20?	Up	57¢	100¢	+$171	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20?	Down	26¢	0¢	$-1,067	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 19?	Down	62¢	100¢	+$187	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?	Up	93¢	100¢	+$148	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 18?	Down	38¢	0¢	$-613	loss

Culture 54% $-5,384 $44,774 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m?	No	95¢	100¢	+$37	win
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?	Yes	76¢	0¢	$-2,567	loss
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?	Yes	80¢	0¢	$-228	loss
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$112	win
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	63¢	100¢	+$46	win
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	85¢	100¢	$-133	loss
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	69¢	0¢	$-1,875	loss

Crypto 59% $-5,434 $48,846 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	82¢	82¢	+$2	win
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026?	No	90¢	91¢	+$0	win
Will Hegseth or Cooper say "Death" 3+ times during press conference?	Yes	68¢	0¢	$-850	loss
Will Solana dip to $20 in February?	No	99¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?	No	96¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 10?	No	94¢	100¢	+$128	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?	No	88¢	100¢	$-1,035	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September?	No	95¢	100¢	+$139	win
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	No	90¢	0¢	$-2,271	loss
Will another company be accused of insider trading?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-912	loss

Other 76% $-32,376 $292,460 vol · 89 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
HumidiFi FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$45	win
HumidiFi FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	94¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	11¢	18¢	+$225	win
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	75¢	76¢	+$9	win
Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	96¢	99¢	+$21	win
Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	87¢	96¢	+$126	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	82¢	11¢	+$81	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	3¢	0¢	+$1	win
Honus Wagner card sale >$4 million?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$8	win