Win rate
73.2%
2076 W / 758 L
Total PnL
$-7,271
realized $-7,889 · unrealized $618
Portfolio
$618
volume $2,983,150
Predictions
4,916
17.0/day · avg $607
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/04/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Mentions 66% +$372
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
Geopolitics 60% +$84
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 33¢ | 18¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 48¢ | 30¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | No | 57¢ | 24¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 67¢ | 69¢ | +$52 | win |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? | No | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 80% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair (BO5) - LFL Invitational Playoffs | French Flair | 34¢ | 50¢ | +$15 | win |
| Celtics vs. Knicks | Celtics | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Cavaliers vs. Pacers | Pacers | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Stars vs. Jets | Jets | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Capitals vs. Hurricanes | Hurricanes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Cardinals vs. Nationals | Cardinals | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | Knicks | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | Celtics | 89¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Warriors vs. Timberwolves | Warriors | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Warriors vs. Rockets | Warriors | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Other 56% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | 93¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | win |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? | No | 86¢ | 90¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Tim Walz resign by January 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Economy 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Culture 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 35m? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 69% $-94
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 86¢ | 79¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 82¢ | 84¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 90¢ | 92¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 81¢ | 40¢ | $-101 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 73% $-182
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 77¢ | 81¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 86¢ | 86¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will the Liberals win between 170-179 seats in the next Canadian Election? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Kim Moon-soo win more than 40% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | win |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win between 8% and 11% of the vote in the South Korea election? | No | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-120 | loss |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Yes | 88¢ | 0¢ | $-205 | loss |
Crypto 74% $-3,401
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | Up | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | Up | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Up | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Up | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | Down | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | Up | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - April 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Up | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | Up | 43.6¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | Up | 34.2¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Up | 54.5¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Up | 41.2¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | Down | 59.2¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $43 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | Up | 57.7¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 78.5¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $104 | 17/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Up | 61.3¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $38 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | Up | 61.2¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $37 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Up | 69.3¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $41 | 17/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Up | 60.9¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 69.7¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET | Down | 75.8¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | Up | 69.9¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | Up | 71.6¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Up | 84.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $28 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | Up | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Down | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | Down | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 47.3¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 17.1¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | Up | 40.9¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Down | 31.8¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Down | 49.8¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | Down | 49.3¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 61.4¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $39 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | Up | 17.8¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET | Down | 55.9¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET | Up | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | $114 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | Down | 74.8¢ | 0¢ | $-133 | $142 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | Down | 17.9¢ | 14¢ | $-6 | $26 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | Down | 38.8¢ | 12¢ | $-23 | $34 | 17/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | Up | 70.7¢ | 79¢ | +$5 | $41 | 17/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | Up | 77.3¢ | 82¢ | +$1 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | Down | 46.4¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $56 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | Down | 56.9¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | $71 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | Up | 63.4¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $89 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | Down | 65.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $80 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | Down | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $80 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET | Up | 35.5¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | Up | 54.8¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | Down | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | Up | 36.3¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 16/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET | Down | 15.8¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $54 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 98.6¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $40 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $27 | 11/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7PM ET | Down | 46.2¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | $72 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET | Up | 64.9¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $23 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8PM ET | Up | 68.6¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7PM ET | Up | 26.8¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 10/04/2026 |