0xA97e43Db0a4A6007899abf75817c452d5a7224ff-1738522326367

Geopolitics 38% +$7,196 $20,520 vol · 91 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	No	86¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	46¢	76¢	+$978	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	9¢	0¢	$-176	loss
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	11¢	12¢	+$10	win
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	32¢	26¢	$-123	loss
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	39¢	30¢	$-28	loss
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	No	50¢	0¢	+$1	win
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	55¢	24¢	+$16	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	20¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Other 32% +$4,265 $24,152 vol · 65 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	22¢	16¢	+$173	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	14¢	18¢	+$143	win
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	55¢	84¢	+$20	win
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Yes	11¢	8¢	$-10	loss
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	Yes	27¢	22¢	$-177	loss
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?	Yes	13¢	12¢	$-2	loss
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	Yes	10¢	7¢	$-21	loss
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	3¢	2¢	$-6	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	22¢	0¢	$-85	loss

Elections 50% +$2,330 $900 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?	Yes	8¢	100¢	+$1,280	win
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?	Yes	11¢	100¢	+$1,641	win
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-442	loss

Economy 25% +$355 $1,132 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-57	loss

Sports 0% $-109 $2,119 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	37¢	100¢	$-109	loss

Tech 14% $-516 $645 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-388	loss
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on February 11?	Down	2¢	0¢	$-23	loss
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 11?	Down	2¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 10?	Down	21¢	100¢	+$79	win
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 10?	Up	3¢	0¢	$-88	loss
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on February 4?	Up	0¢	0¢	$-29	loss

Finance 16% $-1,506 $11,569 vol · 57 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 17?	Down	2¢	1¢	$-23	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 15?	Down	9¢	0¢	$-24	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 14?	Down	1¢	0¢	$-117	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 13?	Down	3¢	0¢	$-100	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?	Down	2¢	0¢	$-59	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 1?	Down	1¢	0¢	$-244	loss
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$40	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 27?	Up	0¢	0¢	$-166	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 26?	Up	1¢	0¢	$-120	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23?	Down	4¢	0¢	$-20	loss

Politics 13% $-2,183 $4,389 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	17¢	8¢	+$131	win
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	24¢	16¢	+$0	—
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-6	loss
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	16¢	16¢	$-19	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?	Yes	9¢	0¢	+$33	win
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-105	loss
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	48¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Trump out as President by March 31?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?	Yes	26¢	0¢	$-986	loss
Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-52	loss

Crypto 5% $-8,198 $12,959 vol · 190 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 16?	No	0¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 16?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15?	No	0¢	0¢	$-69	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 14?	No	2¢	0¢	$-40	loss
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 14?	No	2¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12PM ET	Down	2¢	0¢	$-73	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 13?	No	4¢	0¢	$-81	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 12?	No	3¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 8?	Down	11¢	0¢	$-23	loss