FlashTradeOracleTester

Weather 86% +$400 $78,406 vol · 914 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 17?	No	95¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 17?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 43°C or higher on April 17?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 17?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 17?	No	98¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or higher on April 17?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on April 17?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 17?	No	21¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C or higher on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 17?	No	86¢	100¢	+$18	win

Tech 91% +$187 $10,015 vol · 56 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	94¢	99¢	+$6	win
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	94¢	97¢	+$1	win
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	No	40¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will FK Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win on 2026-03-19?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	No	16¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	No	54¢	0¢	$-35	loss

Politics 89% +$25 $35,289 vol · 146 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	100¢	100¢	$-173	loss
Will Kristi Noem be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	85¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	No	97¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	70¢	92¢	+$9	win
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Nicole Lee Ethington be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Christoph La'Flare Chapman be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?	No	61¢	62¢	+$0	win

Esports 100% +$2 $112 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will G2 Esports win PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026?	No	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will BC.Game Esports win IEM Krakow 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Culture 84% $-2 $15,647 vol · 142 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?	No	34¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	50¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	43¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	89¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	34¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?	No	95¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Common Side Effects win Best New Scripted Series at the 41st Film Independent Awards?	No	96¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 10)	No	18¢	0¢	$-50	loss

Finance 63% $-5 $2,531 vol · 41 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	—
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond?	No	100¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will Once Upon a Farm's market cap be between $800M and $850M at market close on IPO day?	No	94¢	0¢	$-110	loss
Will SpyGlass Pharma, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $700M at market close on IPO day?	No	98¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will Agomab Therapeutics NV's market cap be between $700M and $800M at market close on IPO day?	No	68¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance for the week of January 5?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 65% $-52 $4,444 vol · 52 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	86¢	88¢	+$1	win
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	99¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	64¢	99¢	$-5	loss
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	94¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?	No	81¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	14¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?	No	76¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.6% and 1.9%?	No	54¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Bank of England increases interest rates after February 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	No	95¢	99¢	+$1	win

Crypto 90% $-68 $36,345 vol · 162 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will January be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Mika Biereth be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 17?	No	99¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 12?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 11?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 11?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 10?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 6?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 3?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Netherlands win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Geopolitics 91% $-125 $13,560 vol · 70 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	94¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	99¢	95¢	$-1	loss
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?	No	89¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Will Israel win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?	No	99¢	100¢	$-160	loss
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$36	win

Elections 81% $-125 $32,541 vol · 158 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	93¢	94¢	+$0	win
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Robert Raimondo win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?	No	99¢	95¢	$-1	loss
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	37¢	34¢	$-3	loss
Will Fumitake Fujita be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$0	win
Will Tetsuo Saito be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?	No	89¢	9¢	$-74	loss
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?	No	37¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	85¢	100¢	+$72	win
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?	No	52¢	87¢	+$38	win

Sports 84% $-310 $42,884 vol · 448 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$66	win
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?	No	100¢	100¢	$-66	loss
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	100¢	100¢	$-95	loss
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	100¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series?	No	100¢	100¢	$-33	loss
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	$-89	loss
Will Jet Greaves win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	No	56¢	89¢	+$17	win
Will Rutger McGroarty win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Mentions 79% $-1,907 $81,891 vol · 348 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?	No	87¢	0¢	$-76	loss
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	No	68¢	0¢	$-879	loss
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?	No	87¢	0¢	$-53	loss
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	No	64¢	0¢	$-450	loss
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?	No	37¢	0¢	$-22	loss

Other 83% $-3,935 $101,818 vol · 715 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	-0¢	0¢	+$17	win
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	No	33¢	0¢	$-29	loss
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?	No	100¢	100¢	$-66	loss
Will the US strike Colombia next?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the US strike Yemen next?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the US strike Cuba next?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	92¢	62¢	$-88	loss
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	58¢	88¢	+$31	win