Win rate
75.4%
242 W / 79 L
Total PnL
$10,846
realized $-14,921 · unrealized $25,767
Portfolio
$25,767
volume $1,492,082
Predictions
313
7.3/day · avg $4,767
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 16/08/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 87% +$6,553
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | $-74 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 28¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 69¢ | 74¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 9¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 94¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 86¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | $1,000 | 46¢ | 30¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will April be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 6¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Dogecoin reach $0.36 by December 31, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 89¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will BNB reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? | No | 75¢ | 77¢ | +$2 | win |
Politics 82% +$2,238
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | Yes | 20¢ | 15¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | Yes | 3¢ | 16¢ | +$91 | win |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-105 | loss |
| Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$238 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 65% +$1,091
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? | No | 95¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | Yes | 45¢ | 28¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$77 | win |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | Yes | 28¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? | Yes | 52¢ | 28¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | win |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? | No | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-292 | loss |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-357 | loss |
Other 80% +$912
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $-528 | loss |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | No | 82¢ | 88¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? | Yes | 7¢ | 8¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | 79¢ | 84¢ | +$41 | win |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | No | 77¢ | 78¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$67 | win |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of February? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 6-12? | No | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$71 | $328 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 82.0¢ | 99¢ | +$67 | $328 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in March? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | +$68 | $25 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in March? | No | 79.5¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $181 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | No | 49.9¢ | 100¢ | +$338 | $1,050 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | +$52 | $56 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31? | Yes | 39.2¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | $196 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 31.1¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $169 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $174 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by February 28, 2026? | No | 81.8¢ | 100¢ | $-69 | $204 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by February 28? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | $95 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | Yes | 59.4¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | $796 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Toretske by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 31.4¢ | 0¢ | $-127 | $577 | 31/03/2026 |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026? | No | 58.4¢ | 0¢ | $-357 | $357 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28? | Yes | 8.4¢ | 0¢ | $-547 | $501 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike France by March 31? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $950 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Ukraine by March 31? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $705 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by March 31? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $538 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $691 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike India in March? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $205 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Syria in March? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $496 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Hungary by March 31? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $197 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Italy by March 31? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $60 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Poland by March 31? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $299 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike the United Kingdom by March 31? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $199 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Yemen in March? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $199 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Georgia by March 31? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 12, 2026? | Yes | 83.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1,285 | $6,274 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 8, 2026? | Yes | 4.7¢ | 0¢ | +$476 | $131 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 13, 2026? | No | 87.1¢ | 100¢ | +$454 | $3,260 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 16, 2026? | No | 75.8¢ | 100¢ | +$452 | $1,428 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026? | Yes | 88.2¢ | 100¢ | +$380 | $2,924 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 6, 2026? | No | 79.9¢ | 100¢ | +$364 | $1,560 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 14, 2026? | No | 73.2¢ | 100¢ | +$349 | $1,043 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 10, 2026? | No | 76.7¢ | 100¢ | +$272 | $922 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 21, 2026? | No | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$215 | $2,228 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 2, 2026? | No | 93.6¢ | 100¢ | +$201 | $2,659 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026? | No | 88.8¢ | 100¢ | +$161 | $1,942 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 15, 2026? | No | 76.6¢ | 100¢ | +$154 | $771 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February? | No | 87.8¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $439 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $246 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 17, 2026? | Yes | 17.2¢ | 0¢ | +$30 | $78 | 28/02/2026 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | +$25 | $31 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by February 28? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $287 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 22, 2026? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $407 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 1, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $765 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 9, 2026? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $375 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 4, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $224 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 14, 2026? | Yes | 20.0¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | $60 | 28/02/2026 |