Win rate
67.2%
166 W / 81 L
Total PnL
$8,750
realized $2,581 · unrealized $6,169
Portfolio
$6,169
volume $525,846
Predictions
473
7.0/day · avg $1,112
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Weather 75% +$5,741
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on April 17? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 16? | Yes | 11¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 15? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 14? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 14? | No | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 14? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 12? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 11? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
Crypto 62% +$810
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 21? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $68,500 on March 8? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | Up | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 February 23-March 1? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 February 23-March 1? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-215 | loss |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$238 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | Yes | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-164 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23? | No | 30¢ | 100¢ | +$52 | win |
Mentions 91% +$395
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026? | No | 23¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | Yes | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$215 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Elections 50% +$-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50¢ | 19¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50¢ | 83¢ | +$0 | — |
Finance 25% $-89
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26? | Up | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-95 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 18? | Down | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2? | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 23? | Down | 40¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Geopolitics 25% $-154
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026? | Yes | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 100¢ | $-40 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | loss |
Other 33% $-188
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-187 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18? | No | 3.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $24 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $600 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on April 17? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $52 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 16? | Yes | 11.4¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $29 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on April 15? | Yes | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 14? | Yes | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $583 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 14? | No | 9.2¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $66 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 14? | Yes | 10.3¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $108 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or higher on April 12? | Yes | 13.4¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | $27 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 11? | Yes | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 9? | No | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $44 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on April 9? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $50 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 5? | No | 5.0¢ | 100¢ | +$361 | $22 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on April 5? | No | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $114 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3? | No | 7.0¢ | 100¢ | +$394 | $30 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on April 2? | Yes | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on April 2? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on April 2? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $43 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-234 | $235 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-240 | $240 | 01/04/2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 30? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | +$45 | $204 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 28? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2,036 | $26 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on March 28? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on March 27? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $347 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 27? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | +$14 | $188 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on March 27? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $42 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 27? | Yes | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $20 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 27? | No | 7.9¢ | 100¢ | $-23 | $29 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 26? | Yes | 11.4¢ | 0¢ | +$10 | $20 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 25? | Yes | 11.6¢ | 100¢ | +$398 | $59 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or higher on March 25? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $46 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 24? | No | 24.3¢ | 100¢ | +$153 | $64 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C on March 24? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $457 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 24? | Yes | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $43 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 24? | Yes | 22.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $33 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on March 23? | Yes | 9.5¢ | 100¢ | +$452 | $85 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 23? | Yes | 50.2¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $56 | 23/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $891 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on March 21? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $110 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 22? | Yes | 16.2¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | $40 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 21? | Yes | 62.1¢ | 100¢ | +$149 | $244 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on March 20? | No | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | $908 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 10°C on March 20? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $466 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 13°C on March 20? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $168 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 9°C or below on March 20? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $183 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 8°C or below on March 20? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $168 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 9°C on March 20? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $168 | 21/03/2026 |