Mecky

Politics 45% +$68,152 $660,656 vol · 468 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	17¢	20¢	+$249	win
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	6¢	4¢	$-246	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	55¢	0¢	+$681	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-640	loss
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	68¢	100¢	+$323	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	83¢	92¢	+$201	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-68	loss
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	35¢	16¢	$-136	loss
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	8¢	6¢	$-30	loss
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	54¢	92¢	+$17	win

Geopolitics 50% +$48,269 $604,997 vol · 270 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	3¢	0¢	+$230	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	40¢	0¢	+$121	win
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	67¢	84¢	+$126	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$58	win
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-90	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	No	93¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	63¢	70¢	+$28	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	35¢	0¢	$-360	loss
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	61¢	72¢	+$15	win
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	Yes	35¢	0¢	+$4	win

Other 47% +$14,661 $385,031 vol · 479 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?	Yes	13¢	1¢	$-42	loss
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	38¢	36¢	$-14	loss
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	55¢	36¢	+$219	win
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	74¢	84¢	+$97	win
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$-1	loss
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	No	67¢	72¢	$-21	loss
Kylie Jenner and Timothée Chalamet engaged in 2026?	No	52¢	74¢	$-28	loss
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	37¢	16¢	$-32	loss
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	32¢	55¢	$-66	loss
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?	No	30¢	17¢	$-52	loss

Culture 47% +$2,097 $15,386 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	Yes	29¢	26¢	$-18	loss
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	67¢	100¢	+$66	win
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	62¢	100¢	+$62	win
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	28¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$997	win
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	45¢	100¢	+$766	win
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$79	win
Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?	No	56¢	0¢	$-282	loss
Will The Pitt win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?	Yes	32¢	100¢	+$387	win

Finance 80% +$1,866 $9,003 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	Yes	53¢	70¢	+$51	win
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$1,332	win
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$174	win
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?	No	74¢	100¢	+$145	win
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?	Yes	14¢	0¢	+$64	win
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?	No	68¢	100¢	+$24	win
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	Yes	66¢	0¢	+$40	win
Will Cintas (CTAS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	Yes	57¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Pershing Square IPO in 2024?	No	46¢	100¢	+$49	win
FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?	Yes	57¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Weather 75% +$80 $336 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	22¢	28¢	+$2	win
Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane	Wichita State Shockers	38¢	0¢	$-25	loss
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks	St. Johns Red Storm	75¢	100¢	+$50	win
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$53	win

Mentions 0% $-38 $38 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "deny", "defend", and "depose" be in the manifesto?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-38	loss

Esports 0% $-886 $993 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5	Under	53¢	0¢	$-509	loss
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A	Natus Vincere	62¢	100¢	$-13	loss
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A	PARIVISION	64¢	0¢	$-95	loss
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A	FURIA	76¢	0¢	$-152	loss
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)	NIP	55¢	0¢	$-35	loss
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Monday?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 1-20 tries?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-13	loss
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 100+ tries?	No	18¢	0¢	$-15	loss

Elections 46% $-1,164 $143,339 vol · 103 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4¢	11¢	+$111	win
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	78¢	84¢	+$46	win
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	36¢	34¢	$-17	loss
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	33¢	30¢	$-17	loss
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	63¢	63¢	+$0	—
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	64¢	64¢	$-34	loss
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	48¢	46¢	$-36	loss
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	32¢	38¢	+$72	win
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	72¢	64¢	+$448	win
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	35¢	14¢	$-14	loss

Economy 31% $-1,693 $18,801 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US recession in 2025?	Yes	55¢	0¢	$-10	loss
US recession in 2025?	No	39¢	100¢	$-176	loss
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State	Wake Forest	64¢	100¢	+$253	win
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-124	loss
Will Bryan Johnson say "Depression" while tripping balls?	No	18¢	0¢	$-32	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-1	loss
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?	Yes	67¢	0¢	$-22	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$28	win
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Negative GDP growth in Q1 2025?	No	67¢	0¢	$-2,294	loss

Tech 46% $-1,750 $30,586 vol · 39 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027?	No	74¢	86¢	+$7	win
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	Yes	49¢	26¢	$-11	loss
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	35¢	28¢	$-103	loss
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	14¢	3¢	$-117	loss
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?	Yes	48¢	100¢	+$183	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-222	loss
Will Tesla dip to $405 in January?	No	63¢	100¢	+$53	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of January?	No	64¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 28?	Down	23¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$149	win

Crypto 48% $-5,850 $158,587 vol · 208 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?	80k	81¢	100¢	+$67	win
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	100k	26¢	0¢	$-156	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?	Yes	8¢	0¢	+$94	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 8?	Yes	13¢	0¢	+$25	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 6?	Yes	40¢	100¢	+$70	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?	Yes	18¢	100¢	+$90	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?	Yes	13¢	100¢	+$40	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4?	Up	56¢	100¢	+$102	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 3?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?	No	14¢	0¢	$-255	loss

Sports 45% $-13,002 $185,488 vol · 676 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?	No	73¢	90¢	+$23	win
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	14¢	11¢	$-12	loss
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	4¢	4¢	$-35	loss
Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	35¢	34¢	$-66	loss
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Gabriela Knutson vs Carole Monnet	Gabriela Knutson	45¢	100¢	+$61	win
Canucks vs. Sharks	Canucks	42¢	100¢	+$117	win
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Josh Hokit	53¢	100¢	+$89	win
Lightning vs. Bruins	Bruins	49¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Spread: Islanders (-1.5)	Islanders	52¢	100¢	+$23	win