Win rate
46.7%
210 W / 240 L
Total PnL
$-75,854
realized $-111,589 · unrealized $35,735
Portfolio
$35,735
volume $2,729,495
Predictions
460
5.5/day · avg $5,934
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/09/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 48% +$31,087
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | 19¢ | 2¢ | $-118 | loss |
| Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5 | Over | 53¢ | 52¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$228 | win |
| UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Curtis Blaydes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-2,467 | loss |
| Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5 | Over | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$3,000 | win |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | Cavaliers | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-2,150 | loss |
| Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5 | Over | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$2,437 | win |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Pistons | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$1,350 | win |
| LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | Team Heretics Academy | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-382 | loss |
Economy 100% +$22,217
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | Yes | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$22,139 | win |
Culture 54% +$5,313
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$432 | win |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$1,705 | win |
| Will I Lied to You - Sinners win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | loss |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | loss |
| Will The Traitors win Best Producer of Game & Competition TV at the 37th PGA Awards? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will "Hamnet" win Outstanding British Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 10) | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 10) | Yes | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-111 | loss |
| Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$3,304 | win |
Weather 100% +$2,496
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$2,496 | win |
Mentions 0% $-333
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-333 | loss |
Politics 46% $-611
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 9¢ | 8¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | Yes | 17¢ | 20¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027? | No | 88¢ | 84¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? | No | 23¢ | 57¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 54¢ | 99¢ | +$1,253 | win |
| Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | win |
| Will Chris Gober be the Republican Nominee for TX-10? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$114 | win |
| UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
Geopolitics 46% $-1,079
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 62¢ | 33¢ | $-1,047 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-413 | loss |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | No | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-934 | loss |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? | No | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$698 | win |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$432 | win |
| Will Russia enter Khatnie by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Senators vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-1,350 | loss |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$326 | win |
| Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28? | No | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-666 | loss |
| Will Russia join the Board of Peace? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-2,833 | loss |
Finance 40% $-1,375
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$145 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2? | Down | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-2,222 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13? | Down | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | Down | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$932 | win |
| Will Microchip Technology say "China" during earnings call? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Crypto 33% $-3,114
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | No | 69¢ | 85¢ | +$47 | win |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | No | 69¢ | 78¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-255 | loss |
| Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by February 15? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-377 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | Down | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | win |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | 84¢ | 72¢ | $-151 | loss |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Yes | 78¢ | 62¢ | $-214 | loss |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | No | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
Esports 44% $-3,673
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-1,616 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner | BNK FEARX | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5 | Over | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$3,179 | win |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$994 | win |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner | Movistar KOI | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-555 | loss |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner | Team WE | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$74 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | Vitality | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
| Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5 | Over | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-255 | loss |
Other 51% $-18,147
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$399 | win |
| Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$259 | win |
| Espresso FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$132 | win |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | 76¢ | 71¢ | $-156 | loss |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 69¢ | 52¢ | $-238 | loss |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 73¢ | 56¢ | $-228 | loss |
| Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 76¢ | 57¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 63¢ | 44¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Nexus FDV above $20M one day after launch? | Yes | 83¢ | 94¢ | +$3 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$498 | win |
Tech 18% $-31,106
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 38¢ | 18¢ | $-628 | loss |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | No | 69¢ | 60¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-440 | loss |
| Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | No | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-222 | loss |
| Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$279 | win |
| Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by March 15? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | 92¢ | 0¢ | $-1,555 | loss |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 95¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
| Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 62¢ | 0¢ | $-3,496 | loss |
Elections 47% $-97,486
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | +$9 | win |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 83¢ | 88¢ | +$196 | win |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 63¢ | 64¢ | +$53 | win |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 27¢ | 38¢ | +$197 | win |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 12¢ | 44¢ | +$130 | win |
| Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | No | 12¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$1,593 | win |
| Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | win |
| Will Pheu Thai Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-254 | loss |
| Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | Yes | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-1,914 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4,700 | $4,798 | 18/04/2026 |
| Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5 | Over | 50.8¢ | 0¢ | $-4,273 | $4,337 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs? | Yes | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$228 | $1,111 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Curtis Blaydes | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,467 | $2,504 | 12/04/2026 |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,462 | $2,500 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | Real Madrid CF | 51.7¢ | 0¢ | $-2,464 | $2,500 | 10/04/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3,000 | $3,000 | 09/04/2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | Cavaliers | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,150 | $2,150 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | Yes | 52.6¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | $1,000 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? | Yes | 14.9¢ | 0¢ | $-250 | $250 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 0¢ | $-255 | $255 | 01/04/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5 | Over | 48.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2,437 | $2,319 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 45.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1,796 | $3,155 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more? | Yes | 87.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1,612 | $11,358 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | Yes | 56.2¢ | 100¢ | +$987 | $1,267 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more? | Yes | 88.7¢ | 100¢ | +$958 | $7,555 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? | No | 39.4¢ | 100¢ | +$698 | $454 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | No | 67.9¢ | 100¢ | +$595 | $2,116 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more? | Yes | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$473 | $9,939 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$432 | $1,111 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31? | Yes | 78.7¢ | 100¢ | +$408 | $1,511 | 31/03/2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | No | 28.5¢ | 100¢ | +$376 | $150 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 78.6¢ | 100¢ | +$284 | $2,222 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 76.9¢ | 100¢ | +$220 | $2,800 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | No | 55.3¢ | 100¢ | +$189 | $405 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? | No | 20.4¢ | 100¢ | +$172 | $44 | 31/03/2026 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? | No | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | $1,100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 90.8¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $722 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more? | No | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $-66 | $66 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more? | Yes | 9.5¢ | 0¢ | $-222 | $222 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? | Yes | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-222 | $222 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | Yes | 42.2¢ | 0¢ | $-722 | $722 | 31/03/2026 |
| Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31? | Yes | 70.1¢ | 100¢ | $-1,352 | $1,721 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 64.6¢ | 0¢ | $-5,500 | $5,500 | 31/03/2026 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | Yes | 20.3¢ | 0¢ | $-510 | $510 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 68.3¢ | 0¢ | $-594 | $594 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Russia enter Khatnie by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Yes | 53.9¢ | 0¢ | $-125 | $125 | 31/03/2026 |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 134.5 | Over | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,555 | $1,562 | 28/03/2026 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 119.5 | Over | 48.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2,989 | $2,811 | 27/03/2026 |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils | 49.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2,496 | $2,486 | 27/03/2026 |
| Wales vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,000 | $2,000 | 26/03/2026 |
| Senators vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 55.3¢ | 0¢ | $-1,350 | $1,350 | 24/03/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Pistons | 59.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1,350 | $2,000 | 23/03/2026 |
| UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,132 | $2,141 | 23/03/2026 |
| LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs | Team Heretics Academy | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-382 | $382 | 23/03/2026 |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5 | Over | 51.9¢ | 100¢ | +$27,794 | $30,000 | 22/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Main Card) | Luke Riley | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4,706 | $10,000 | 22/03/2026 |
| Nets vs. Kings: O/U 218.5 | Over | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3,329 | $3,464 | 22/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Michael Page vs. Sam Patterson (Welterweight, Main Card) | Michael Page | 65.4¢ | 100¢ | +$3,250 | $6,144 | 22/03/2026 |