Win rate
68.8%
11 W / 5 L
Total PnL
$-596
realized $-4,394 · unrealized $3,798
Portfolio
$3,798
volume $44,332
Predictions
24
0.1/day · avg $1,847
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 20/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 20/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 100% +$56
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 81¢ | 82¢ | +$56 | win |
Other 100% +$42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | win |
Economy 100% +$28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
Crypto 70% $-21
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | No | 92¢ | 95¢ | +$68 | win |
| Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31? | Yes | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | loss |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | Down | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | Up | 97¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | Up | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | Up | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 3? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down on November 3? | Down | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Politics 50% $-45
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | No | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
Tech 0% $-717
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale? | No | 93¢ | 0¢ | $-717 | loss |
Recent Trades (16)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-45 | $125 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $157 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale? | No | 92.8¢ | 0¢ | $-717 | $717 | 01/01/2026 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | 89.3¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $235 | 19/12/2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | Yes | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $885 | 15/11/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 11/11/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | Down | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $34 | 11/11/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | Up | 97.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 11/11/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | Up | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 10/11/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | Up | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $51 | 10/11/2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 3? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $725 | 03/11/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on November 3? | Down | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $89 | 03/11/2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | No | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $52 | 31/10/2025 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 81.2¢ | 82¢ | +$56 | $12,873 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | No | 92.5¢ | 95¢ | +$68 | $2,262 | 01/05/2026 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | No | 73.7¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $848 | 31/12/2026 |