Win rate
45.8%
11 W / 13 L
Total PnL
$-22
realized $-1,715 · unrealized $1,693
Portfolio
$1,693
volume $48,303
Predictions
49
0.8/day · avg $986
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 43% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 67% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jeremy Allen White win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Sports 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 0% $-13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
Recent Trades (28)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Colin Farrell win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Jeremy Allen White win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $38 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Demon Slayer: Infinity Castle be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $62 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $69 | 31/12/2025 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $52 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $59 | 30/12/2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $59 | 19/12/2025 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $63 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 30/11/2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | $77 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $38 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $203 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $22 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 10/06/2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 98.5¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $52 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $42 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $32 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $42 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $24 | 06/12/2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 01/01/2027 |
| Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 01/01/2027 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,620 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $31 | 07/11/2028 |