Win rate
40.0%
6 W / 9 L
Total PnL
$-33
realized $-7,921 · unrealized $7,888
Portfolio
$7,888
volume $1,756,399
Predictions
17
0.4/day · avg $103,318
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 36% +$6,992
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 45¢ | 68¢ | +$2,277 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$7,767 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 50¢ | 13¢ | $-4,257 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-649 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-96 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
Other 67% +$298
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | 86¢ | 94¢ | $-267 | loss |
| Will Artemis II launch by April 30? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$227 | win |
Economy 0% $-5,700
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 37¢ | 26¢ | $-5,700 | loss |
Recent Trades (15)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026? | No | 39.5¢ | 100¢ | +$7,767 | $5,759 | 18/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 50.5¢ | 13¢ | $-4,257 | $9,516 | 07/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 92.5¢ | 100¢ | +$763 | $10,101 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 91.9¢ | 100¢ | +$338 | $12,785 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Artemis II launch by April 30? | Yes | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$227 | $10,063 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $-649 | $1,228 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | Yes | 10.8¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $1,191 | 01/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | $-96 | $12,882 | 01/03/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $1,000 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | No | 18.3¢ | 13¢ | $-1,246 | $4,826 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | No | 34.8¢ | 21¢ | $-2,892 | $7,941 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 55.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5,426 | $20,126 | 30/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | 86.1¢ | 94¢ | $-267 | $13,111 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 44.6¢ | 68¢ | +$2,277 | $11,940 | 31/12/2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 26¢ | $-5,700 | $13,717 | 31/01/2027 |