Win rate
48.4%
15 W / 16 L
Total PnL
$-1,426
realized $-3,837 · unrealized $2,411
Portfolio
$2,411
volume $110,062
Predictions
42
2.3/day · avg $2,621
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 100% +$24
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | Yes | 48¢ | 72¢ | +$24 | win |
Other 54% $-27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 49¢ | 66¢ | +$53 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | Yes | 25¢ | 6¢ | $-157 | loss |
| Epstein client list released by June 30? | Yes | 19¢ | 12¢ | $-97 | loss |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 26¢ | 28¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final? | Yes | 63¢ | 64¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | Yes | 14¢ | 4¢ | +$95 | win |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 9¢ | 56¢ | +$32 | win |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? | Yes | 11¢ | 8¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | No | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
Economy 0% $-48
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-48 | loss |
Politics 33% $-335
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | No | 42¢ | 35¢ | +$108 | win |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 1¢ | +$248 | win |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | No | 19¢ | 8¢ | $-24 | loss |
Geopolitics 50% $-953
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | +$0 | — |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | +$0 | — |
| US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026? | No | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-92 | loss |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 18¢ | 30¢ | +$40 | win |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 40¢ | 0¢ | +$25 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $-26 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | No | 35¢ | 8¢ | $-383 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 56¢ | 56¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (34)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? | No | 7.7¢ | 0¢ | $-620 | $815 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | +$111 | $760 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | 27.9¢ | 10¢ | $-620 | $994 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | No | 19.0¢ | 8¢ | $-24 | $81 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 69.8¢ | 64¢ | $-5 | $57 | 31/12/2025 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 56.0¢ | 56¢ | +$0 | $504 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 1.7¢ | 1¢ | $-48 | $86 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | No | 58.9¢ | 44¢ | $-27 | $109 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | No | 24.7¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $23 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 3.2¢ | 1¢ | +$248 | $200 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | No | 42.0¢ | 35¢ | +$108 | $148 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | Yes | 14.0¢ | 4¢ | +$95 | $221 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 9.1¢ | 56¢ | +$32 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | +$25 | $501 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | No | 10.9¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | $36 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 2.0¢ | 1¢ | +$3 | $38 | 30/04/2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? | Yes | 11.0¢ | 8¢ | $-20 | $117 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | Yes | 2.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $85 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30? | Yes | 1.8¢ | 1¢ | $-26 | $60 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | No | 15.5¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $121 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | No | 35.0¢ | 8¢ | $-383 | $740 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final? | Yes | 63.0¢ | 64¢ | +$0 | $22 | 07/05/2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 26.0¢ | 28¢ | +$3 | $52 | 31/05/2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 18.0¢ | 30¢ | +$40 | $360 | 31/05/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by May 31, 2026? | No | 9.5¢ | 0¢ | $-92 | $95 | 31/05/2026 |
| Epstein client list released by June 30? | Yes | 19.5¢ | 12¢ | $-97 | $430 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | Yes | 38.5¢ | 17¢ | +$154 | $746 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | Yes | 38.9¢ | 16¢ | $-40 | $529 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | Yes | 25.1¢ | 6¢ | $-157 | $482 | 30/06/2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 72¢ | +$24 | $48 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 24.0¢ | 24¢ | +$18 | $937 | 31/12/2026 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 66¢ | +$53 | $198 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 7¢ | +$0 | $135 | 31/12/2026 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 8¢ | +$0 | $221 | 31/12/2026 |