Dissociation

Other 69% +$5,091 $88,752 vol · 368 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	56¢	0¢	$-73	loss
Will the US strike Syria next?	Yes	12¢	0¢	+$45	win
Will MrBeast get married by December 31?	Yes	37¢	63¢	+$14	win
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?	No	58¢	48¢	$-29	loss
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	50¢	20¢	+$34	win
Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ?	No	71¢	98¢	+$330	win
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	52¢	34¢	$-36	loss
Will ThunderTalk Gaming qualify for EWC 2026?	No	97¢	53¢	$-25	loss
Will Fnatic qualify for EWC 2026?	No	50¢	52¢	+$1	win

Esports 75% +$3,615 $66,425 vol · 530 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?	Yes	4¢	7¢	+$59	win
Will LNG Esports qualify for EWC 2026?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will Misa Esports win EMEA Masters 2026 Winter?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Vici Gaming	36¢	36¢	$-1	loss
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A	Sangal ALTERS	51¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	33¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group A	XI Esport	39¢	100¢	+$17	win
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs	FlyQuest	45¢	100¢	+$83	win
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs	Team Liquid	6¢	0¢	$-38	loss
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Solary	44¢	100¢	+$167	win

Crypto 73% +$1,298 $2,376 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 14-20?	Yes	95¢	99¢	+$3	win
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 10-16?	No	39¢	100¢	+$546	win
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 3-9?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?	No	10¢	0¢	$-88	loss
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19?	No	13¢	100¢	+$464	win
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?	Yes	68¢	0¢	$-204	loss
Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-30	loss
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?	No	50¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 8?	No	71¢	100¢	+$58	win
Solana above $170 on November 8?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$3	win

Elections 71% +$999 $2,683 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	No	33¢	19¢	+$34	win
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?	Yes	64¢	81¢	$-28	loss
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	30¢	28¢	$-4	loss
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$92	win
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$17	win
Kamala Rust Belt swing state sweep?	No	61¢	100¢	+$883	win
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?	No	98¢	100¢	+$4	win

Culture 85% +$391 $6,200 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Will Senzu finish in the top 5 of the HLTV Top 20 Players of 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get between 33 and 34 million views on day 1?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will MrBeast's celebrity challenge video get 35 million or more views on day 1?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	37¢	100¢	+$409	win
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?	No	97¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Frieren win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-43	loss
Will Okarun win Crunchyroll's Best Main Character Award for 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$8	win

Politics 65% +$356 $8,483 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?	Yes	42¢	100¢	+$58	win
Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?	Yes	44¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Will Trump and Robert Fico only be photographed shaking hands?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-21	loss
Will Trump and Machado hug by Friday?	No	80¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Trump and Machado handshake last 15 seconds or longer?	No	95¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 15 seconds or longer?	No	90¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-256	loss
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?	Yes	65¢	100¢	$-9	loss

Geopolitics 71% +$133 $2,787 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the US strike Iran next?	No	58¢	100¢	+$52	win
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by April 30?	No	84¢	98¢	$-438	loss
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)	Renato Moicano	44¢	100¢	+$56	win
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?	Yes	52¢	0¢	$-181	loss
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)	Joe Pyfer	44¢	100¢	+$84	win
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	No	63¢	100¢	+$123	win
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?	No	62¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Chinese or Russian athlete kicked out of 2026 Winter Games for doping?	No	50¢	100¢	+$19	win
Chinese or Russian athlete kicked out of 2026 Winter Games for doping?	Yes	18¢	0¢	+$0	win

Weather 0% $-310 $310 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will global temperature increase by between 1.37-1.41ºC in March 2025?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-261	loss

Tech 50% $-531 $1,782 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-45	loss
Will GPT win the okbet trading competition?	Yes	90¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-290	loss
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	41¢	100¢	+$108	win
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 31 or later?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	Yes	70¢	0¢	$-76	loss
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	31¢	0¢	$-361	loss

Sports 63% $-2,015 $24,179 vol · 72 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mike Evans be traded?	No	95¢	98¢	+$2	win
NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?	No	19¢	0¢	+$263	win
NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?	Yes	82¢	100¢	$-316	loss
UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims)	Tatiana Suarez	60¢	100¢	+$40	win
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Curtis Blaydes	55¢	0¢	$-192	loss
UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)	Virna Jandiroba	54¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will Bilibili Gaming Gaming win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$117	win
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs?	No	92¢	100¢	+$9	win
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Alexa Grasso	38¢	100¢	+$93	win
UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Adrian Yanez	39¢	50¢	+$11	win