Win rate
22.2%
18 W / 63 L
Total PnL
$-1,921
realized $-3,327 · unrealized $1,407
Portfolio
$1,407
volume $141,848
Predictions
95
1.9/day · avg $1,493
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 21/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 83% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 9? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 6? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% $-4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
Elections 0% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | loss |
Politics 0% $-20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
Sports 0% $-897
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Blue Jackets vs. Lightning | Lightning | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-92 | loss |
| Canucks vs. Blackhawks | Blackhawks | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | loss |
| Kings vs. 76ers | Kings | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-674 | loss |
Other 33% $-1,017
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 131.5 | Under | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-752 | loss |
| Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | win |
| Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs | Georgia Bulldogs | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | loss |
| Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-09? | No | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will US Lecce win on 2026-03-08? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-111 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 131.5 | Under | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-752 | $752 | 26/03/2026 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | $85 | 21/03/2026 |
| Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs | Georgia Bulldogs | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $85 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $63 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 16? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,095 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,831 | 15/03/2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Lightning | Lightning | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-92 | $92 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-03-09? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $86 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will US Lecce win on 2026-03-08? | No | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-111 | $111 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-07? | No | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-80 | $80 | 07/03/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Blackhawks | Blackhawks | 58.0¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $102 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-04? | No | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $85 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-02? | No | 71.0¢ | 0¢ | $-147 | $147 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 9? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 06/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 6? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 06/02/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $114 | 01/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $32 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $31 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $59 | 31/01/2026 |
| Kings vs. 76ers | Kings | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-674 | $674 | 30/01/2026 |
| Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $213 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,346 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,349 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $912 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $686 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $799 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,073 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $205 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $597 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $668 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $798 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,051 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,100 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $234 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $654 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $661 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $723 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $761 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $785 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $956 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,001 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,359 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.3¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,386 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,515 | 20/07/2026 |