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0xa5d868620f25afb619d748e552Fba73CFA6F415C-1766135181120
0xa5d868620f25afb619d748e552fba73cfa6f415c · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
88.3%
346 W / 46 L
Total PnL
$4,576
realized $2,952 · unrealized $1,623
Portfolio
$1,623
volume $183,811
Predictions
427
1.9/day · avg $430
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 19/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Mentions 89% +$1,852
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 96¢ | +$47 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 43¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
Geopolitics 89% +$1,287
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026? | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026? | No | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026? | No | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-94 | loss |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Other 83% +$238
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | Yes | 26¢ | 16¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 4? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Maduro mugshot released by Monday? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship on December 25? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Ryan Seacrest say "New Leaf" on New Year's Rockin' Eve? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 23? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Culture 86% +$102
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 23m? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) | Yes | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$118 | win |
| Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | win |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 62m and 67m? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | loss |
| Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Weather 100% +$66
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on December 27? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on December 26? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on December 23? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Sports 88% $-107
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat vs. 76ers | 76ers | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Rockets vs. Magic | Rockets | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | Pistons | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Warriors vs. Grizzlies | Warriors | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Spurs vs. Raptors | Raptors | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-152 | loss |
| Kings vs. Grizzlies | Kings | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Spurs vs. Pistons | Spurs | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Celtics vs. Lakers | Celtics | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Politics 78% $-213
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 53¢ | 100¢ | $-114 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | loss |
| Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in December? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Ryan Seacrest say "Trump" on New Year's Rockin' Eve? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | $-165 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 84.0¢ | 96¢ | +$47 | $337 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $111 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $764 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 90.2¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $216 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $778 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | $577 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $922 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 82.3¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $120 | 31/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 88.1¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $193 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 86.8¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $148 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $880 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $1,117 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026? | No | 88.7¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $121 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 31, 2026? | Yes | 79.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $24 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 2, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $197 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $88 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 1, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 21.0¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on March 8, 2026? | No | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $45 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.7¢ | 0¢ | $-65 | $65 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 63.7¢ | 0¢ | $-74 | $82 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 52.9¢ | 100¢ | $-114 | $260 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $640 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026? | No | 73.6¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $96 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | No | 73.2¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $171 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026? | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $913 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | Yes | 72.5¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $116 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $893 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $151 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026? | No | 42.6¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $31 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? | Yes | 75.5¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $151 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? | No | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | $778 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026? | No | 70.6¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | $94 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $132 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $941 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? | No | 91.1¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $646 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? | No | 84.3¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $76 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $468 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | No | 91.6¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | $531 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $141 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $297 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | Yes | 34.4¢ | 100¢ | +$86 | $103 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 91.1¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $401 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $786 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $869 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | No | 92.4¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | $764 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | No | 93.4¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $756 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | No | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $56 | 18/03/2026 |