Win rate
37.5%
3 W / 5 L
Total PnL
$124
realized $-1,462 · unrealized $1,587
Portfolio
$1,587
volume $8,271
Predictions
12
0.4/day · avg $689
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 08/11/2022 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Elections 50% +$279
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 43¢ | 66¢ | +$288 | win |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 69¢ | 90¢ | $-9 | loss |
Other 50% +$50
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 78¢ | 68¢ | $-110 | loss |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 85¢ | 99¢ | +$160 | win |
Politics 50% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 9¢ | 9¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
Crypto 0% $-17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-90
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 84¢ | 74¢ | $-90 | loss |
Recent Trades (8)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $200 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | Down | 50.2¢ | 0¢ | $-17 | $59 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 99¢ | +$160 | $962 | 12/04/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | No | 84.0¢ | 74¢ | $-90 | $800 | 22/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 78.3¢ | 68¢ | $-110 | $880 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 42.6¢ | 66¢ | +$288 | $600 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 69.0¢ | 90¢ | $-9 | $300 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 8.7¢ | 9¢ | $-1 | $100 | 07/11/2028 |